PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xc8A5Fb6E9e78Cc63Ec344D85fed665f8EaC382bD-1773664201494

0xc8a5fb6e9e78cc63ec344d85fed665f8eac382bd

Realised P&L
$-167.47
Volume
$36.0k
Markets traded
199
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded199
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9410.972$547.41+$17.05
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? · No0.9420.965$544.86+$12.98
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9720.978$494.62+$2.58
Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide? · No0.9860.999$404.78+$5.25
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · No0.9700.975$389.99+$1.90
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? · No0.9890.991$100.20+$0.20
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9630.980$97.95+$1.65
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9640.954$97.27−$1.07
AI bubble burst in 2026? · No0.9150.938$93.80+$2.30
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? · No0.9680.975$54.60+$0.39
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · Yes0.9610.991$49.52+$1.48
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · No0.9200.977$48.83+$2.83
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.965$48.25+$1.25
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.925$46.25+$0.25
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? · No0.8560.954$11.14+$1.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 06:09Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.99$203.34
10-11 15:45Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?BUY0.9799666667$5.88
10-11 07:30Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?BUY0.9889999999$100.00
10-06 13:13New pandemic in 2026?BUY0.0599999995$5.00
10-05 17:53Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?SELL0.79$7.90
10-05 17:52Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?SELL0.35$8.40
10-05 17:33Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.51$5.10
10-04 10:37Will annual inflation be 3.0% in September?SELL0.998$74.85
10-02 11:02Will annual inflation be 3.0% in September?BUY0.997$74.78
10-02 11:01Will annual inflation be 4.0% or more in September?BUY0.993$99.30
10-02 10:58Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?SELL0.999$419.58
10-01 16:39AI bubble burst in 2026?BUY0.915$91.50
10-01 06:15Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?BUY0.996$398.40
10-01 06:14Will Anthropic IPO by October 15, 2026?BUY0.995$19.90
10-01 06:08Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.967$96.70