Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the cash rate target by 50+ bps at the February meeting?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-02-09
Resolves by: https://www.rba.gov.au/schedules-events/calendar/?topics=monetary-policy-board
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.10. down 0.38 over the period, from 0.48. Range 0.07 to 0.48. 66 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.12	41	41
0.13	192	233
0.14	278	511
0.15	323	834
0.30	13	846
0.33	50	896
0.52	20	916
0.55	100	1,016
0.58	40	1,056
0.59	497	1,553
0.82	5	1,558
0.94	11	1,570

Spread0.03Mid0.10

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	41	41
0.08	22	63
0.05	100	163
0.04	96	259
0.03	174	433
0.02	201	634
0.01	305	939

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	41	41
0.92	22	63
0.95	100	163
0.96	96	259
0.97	174	433
0.98	201	634
0.99	305	939

Spread0.03Mid0.90

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.88	41	41
0.87	192	233
0.86	278	511
0.85	323	834
0.70	13	846
0.67	50	896
0.48	20	916
0.45	100	1,016
0.42	40	1,056
0.41	497	1,553
0.18	5	1,558
0.06	11	1,570

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	366.38
Numitus1994	Yes	21
LornaPredicts	Yes	20
luciebot	Yes	13.99
podairpod	No	298.58
0xa5ef…2966	No	93.3
0xd00c…589e	No	20
new-account-test222	No	5
big-bird1	No	4.49

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
06:54:54	BUY	Yes	0.1299999905	8	$1.09
06:45:27	SELL	No	0.87	20	$17.40
06:44:54	BUY	Yes	0.12	20	$2.40
14:01:34	BUY	Yes	0.09	47	$4.23
13:29:48	SELL	No	0.91	0	$0.01
13:29:46	BUY	No	0.91	30	$27.30
13:29:46	BUY	No	0.913125	13	$11.69
12:57:42	BUY	No	0.95	20	$19.00
12:57:42	BUY	No	0.9	29	$25.65
12:48:09	BUY	No	0.9	8	$7.20
12:13:51	BUY	No	0.9	5	$4.05
12:13:49	BUY	Yes	0.14	271	$37.94
06:35:28	BUY	Yes	0.32	20	$6.40