Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-19 House election by 3% or more?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-03

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.017. down 0.243 over the period, from 0.260. Range 0.017 to 0.355. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.030	5	5
0.031	20	25
0.032	20	45
0.046	82	127
0.362	85	212
0.363	20	232
0.592	50	282
0.593	6	288
0.595	60	348
0.600	1,600	1,948
0.650	2,286	4,234
0.699	100	4,334

Spread0.026Mid0.017

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.004	100	100
0.003	96	196
0.002	50	246
0.001	14	260

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.996	100	100
0.997	96	196
0.998	50	246
0.999	14	260

Spread0.026Mid0.983

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.970	5	5
0.969	20	25
0.968	20	45
0.954	82	127
0.638	85	212
0.637	20	232
0.408	50	282
0.407	6	288
0.405	60	348
0.400	1,600	1,948
0.350	2,286	4,234
0.301	100	4,334

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Numitus1994	Yes	82
2B9S	Yes	20.03
lolzzzlol	Yes	20
bechamel	Yes	20
AJSV	Yes	19.17
a5533	Yes	5.78
smidia	Yes	5.16
ferliv	No	100
0xa5ef…2966	No	72.19

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
13:24:33	BUY	No	0.9730518891	19	$18.43
13:24:31	SELL	Yes	0.07	20	$1.40
13:24:24	BUY	No	0.9295	20	$18.59
13:24:21	BUY	No	0.92	100	$92.00
10:50:39	BUY	No	0.95	20	$19.00
20:03:40	BUY	Yes	0.15	8	$1.20
02:46:36	BUY	Yes	0.12	21	$2.52
02:23:27	BUY	Yes	0.1199999284	11	$1.34
01:50:34	BUY	No	0.9600299551	20	$19.23