PolyBot

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Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-02 House election by 9%-12%?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Rewards
20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.21. up 0.09 over the period, from 0.13. Range 0.13 to 0.41. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.24189189
0.5521210
0.6840250
0.7020270
0.73162432
0.74250682
0.793871,069
0.8271,075
0.83201,095
0.8413,00814,103
0.8820,83334,936
0.8981335,749

Spread0.05Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.19535535
0.18322856
0.118864
0.036871
0.0220891
0.0119910

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.81535535
0.82322856
0.898864
0.976871
0.9820891
0.9919910

Spread0.05Mid0.79

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.76189189
0.4521210
0.3240250
0.3020270
0.27162432
0.26250682
0.213871,069
0.1871,075
0.17201,095
0.1613,00814,103
0.1220,83334,936
0.1181335,749

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
xtxpleasecallmeYes272.71
LornaPredictsYes128.08
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes30
arcjuiceYes18.9
GuyFromTinderYes15
0xa5ef…2966No356.45
dcogNo20
pppnnNo20
cigarettesNo20
kunsect9No20
HaradwaithNo19.27
smarterstratNo8.12

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
05:09:54BUYYes0.2840$11.20
05:09:54BUYYes0.2920$5.80
06:38:40BUYNo0.7120$14.20
04:50:43SELLYes0.2320$4.60
04:45:28BUYNo0.7720$15.40
23:37:56BUYNo0.6960$41.40
23:06:49BUYYes0.2440$9.60
14:55:31BUYYes0.2420$4.80
23:40:54BUYNo0.8520$17.00
22:20:06BUYYes0.1527$4.05
12:23:32SELLYes0.1418$2.52
12:22:56BUYNo0.85999997695$4.46
12:22:56BUYNo0.859999990613$11.00
12:22:56BUYNo0.865$4.46
12:22:56BUYNo0.8613$11.01
12:04:57BUYNo0.865$4.30
12:04:56BUYNo0.8610$8.60
11:19:18BUYNo0.8514$12.07
11:19:18BUYNo0.8513$10.89
09:50:51BUYNo0.8720$17.40
09:50:47SELLYes0.1420$2.80
08:30:00BUYNo0.8225$20.65
08:15:15SELLNo0.8319$15.91
08:12:35SELLNo0.8320$16.68
07:58:48SELLYes0.149$1.26