Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 21% or more?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-03

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.051. down 0.014 over the period, from 0.065. Range 0.019 to 0.108. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.098	18	18
0.099	40	58
0.189	40	98
0.190	11	109
0.665	195	304
0.666	50	354
0.686	141	495
0.689	6	501
0.710	7	508
0.779	5	513
0.780	9	522
0.840	406	928

Spread0.095Mid0.051

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.003	447	447
0.002	110	557
0.001	149	706

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.997	447	447
0.998	110	557
0.999	149	706

Spread0.095Mid0.950

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.902	18	18
0.901	40	58
0.811	40	98
0.810	11	109
0.335	195	304
0.334	50	354
0.314	141	495
0.311	6	501
0.290	7	508
0.221	5	513
0.220	9	522
0.160	406	928

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
2B9S	Yes	60
AJSV	Yes	35.75
0x0d3dbEA9C4707F50Bc4bDd4cfcB034CfaeDcaa93-1772305407452	Yes	20
Numitus1994	Yes	20
mariacryptoss	Yes	18.12
lolzzzlol	Yes	18
MidCtrl	Yes	3.25
0xa5ef…2966	No	95.11
0xf27dc	No	60
0x6bb9Bb92a74c37a447F09E3697370d7B443aF64a-1778889145261	No	20

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
18:14:31	BUY	Yes	0.0306940596	38	$1.17
11:01:11	SELL	Yes	0.075	20	$1.50
01:17:30	BUY	No	0.957	18	$17.23
20:11:31	SELL	No	0.92	20	$18.40
19:18:37	SELL	No	0.94	40	$37.60
13:45:16	BUY	No	0.97	20	$19.40
17:25:22	BUY	No	0.9	20	$18.00
17:25:21	BUY	No	0.81	120	$97.20
00:50:01	BUY	Yes	0.08	17	$1.34
16:16:24	BUY	No	0.75	20	$15.00
21:06:18	BUY	No	0.64	20	$12.80
21:04:12	BUY	No	0.64	20	$12.80
21:17:46	BUY	No	0.86	19	$16.34