0xf27dc
0x274e75b55aa3d8ef63e0edf9c9d4846e061e648c
- Realised P&L
- $14.3k
- Volume
- $316.6k
- Markets traded
- 230
- Open portfolio
- $16.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded230
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.978Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$1.3kat 0.361Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
- +$1.1kat 0.133Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?
- +$1.1kat 0.539Will Carlos Moore win the 2026 GA-13 special election?
- +$784.86at 0.440Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 09:22 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 0%-10%? | SELL | 0.92171 | $55.30 |
| 09-19 09:21 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 0%-3%? | SELL | 0.0386085714 | $1.08 |
| 09-19 09:21 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 15%-18%? | SELL | 0.8328776978 | $115.77 |
| 09-19 09:20 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6% or more? | SELL | 0.89 | $117.48 |
| 09-18 23:41 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6% or more? | BUY | 0.75 | $15.00 |
| 09-18 23:24 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6% or more? | BUY | 0.75 | $84.00 |
| 09-18 22:51 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 15%-18%? | BUY | 0.7276258993 | $101.14 |
| 09-18 22:13 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 0%-3%? | SELL | 0.066 | $0.79 |
| 09-18 22:13 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6% or more? | SELL | 0.8275566038 | $175.44 |
| 09-18 20:54 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 0%-3%? | BUY | 0.0115 | $0.46 |
| 09-18 20:51 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 12% or more? | SELL | 0.915 | $0.92 |
| 09-18 20:36 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 0%-10%? | SELL | 0.917 | $55.02 |
| 09-18 20:33 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 3%-6%? | SELL | 0.18 | $7.38 |
| 09-18 20:32 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 15%-18%? | SELL | 0.9141981132 | $193.81 |
| 09-18 20:11 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 21% or more? | SELL | 0.92 | $18.40 |