PolyBot

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Traders

0xf27dc

0x274e75b55aa3d8ef63e0edf9c9d4846e061e648c

Realised P&L
$14.3k
Volume
$316.6k
Markets traded
230
Open portfolio
$16.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded230
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5000.635$7.7k+$1.6k
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.5000.365$4.5k$1.6k
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · No0.6210.567$2.0k$197.49
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 12% or more? · No0.9140.949$526.00+$19.22
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-08 House seat? · Yes0.9620.971$449.65+$3.94
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New York Attorney General election? · Yes0.8270.935$213.18+$24.72
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Massachusetts Senate election by 45% or more? · No0.9200.935$187.94+$3.02
Colorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026? · No0.7040.915$176.36+$40.75
Will the Democratic Party win the VT-AL House seat? · Yes0.9700.957$172.52$2.48
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-03 House election by 25%-30%? · No0.8110.748$157.72$13.51
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 3% or more? · No0.8060.955$94.92+$14.77
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 21% or more? · No0.8100.949$56.94+$8.34
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-18 House election? · No0.9400.945$33.08+$0.17
Will Democrats win the Michigan Governor election and Republicans win the Michigan Senate election? · Yes0.2260.235$32.79+$1.19
Will Democrats win the Ohio Governor election and Republicans win the Ohio Senate election? · Yes0.1210.205$30.75+$12.57

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 09:22Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 0%-10%?SELL0.92171$55.30
09-19 09:21Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 0%-3%?SELL0.0386085714$1.08
09-19 09:21Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 15%-18%?SELL0.8328776978$115.77
09-19 09:20Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6% or more?SELL0.89$117.48
09-18 23:41Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6% or more?BUY0.75$15.00
09-18 23:24Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6% or more?BUY0.75$84.00
09-18 22:51Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 15%-18%?BUY0.7276258993$101.14
09-18 22:13Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 0%-3%?SELL0.066$0.79
09-18 22:13Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 6% or more?SELL0.8275566038$175.44
09-18 20:54Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 0%-3%?BUY0.0115$0.46
09-18 20:51Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-17 House election by 12% or more?SELL0.915$0.92
09-18 20:36Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 0%-10%?SELL0.917$55.02
09-18 20:33Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 3%-6%?SELL0.18$7.38
09-18 20:32Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-01 House election by 15%-18%?SELL0.9141981132$193.81
09-18 20:11Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AZ-08 House election by 21% or more?SELL0.92$18.40