0xf27dc661
0x274e75b55aa3d8ef63e0edf9c9d4846e061e648c
- Realised P&L
- $13.7k
- Volume
- $267.8k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $5.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.0kat 0.978Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$1.3kat 0.362Will Juliana Stratton be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Illinois?
- +$1.1kat 0.133Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?
- +$799.82at 0.431Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?
- +$565.90at 0.435Will Ketanji Brown Jackson attend the 2026 State of the Union address?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 15:11 | Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election? | BUY | 0.0806756985 | $23.88 |
| 08-05 00:20 | Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.1836076343 | $1.35 |
| 08-05 00:18 | Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.1699999098 | $1.30 |
| 08-05 00:16 | Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.1699999609 | $3.00 |
| 08-04 23:56 | Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election? | SELL | 0.8337057423 | $1.3k |
| 08-04 19:44 | Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 17:35 | Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election? | SELL | 0.910177561 | $373.17 |
| 08-04 17:24 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | SELL | 0.982 | $1.2k |
| 08-04 16:36 | Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | BUY | 0.0699999981 | $33.00 |
| 08-04 14:31 | Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? | BUY | 0.71 | $1.30 |
| 08-04 14:30 | Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? | BUY | 0.7099999918 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 14:30 | Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? | BUY | 0.7128712808 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 14:29 | Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? | BUY | 0.7099999918 | $20.00 |
| 08-04 14:29 | Will Dan Koh be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? | BUY | 0.6927624308 | $51.00 |
| 08-04 10:06 | Will Mark Keough win the 2026 Montgomery County Judge election? | BUY | 0.7753101289 | $1.3k |