Will the next Grok model (4.7+) debut at a score of at least 1480 by June 30, 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2027-06-30
Resolves by: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.14. down 0.26 over the period, from 0.40. Range 0.14 to 0.51. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.16	533	533
0.17	20	553
0.21	80	633
0.22	29	663
0.28	330	993
0.29	500	1,493
0.50	20	1,513
0.73	837	2,350
0.80	650	3,000
0.82	400	3,400
0.84	900	4,300
0.85	265	4,565

Spread0.05Mid0.14

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.11	316	316
0.10	304	620
0.09	1,325	1,945
0.08	500	2,445
0.05	10	2,455
0.04	300	2,755
0.01	39	2,794

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.89	316	316
0.90	304	620
0.91	1,325	1,945
0.92	500	2,445
0.95	10	2,455
0.96	300	2,755
0.99	39	2,794

Spread0.05Mid0.86

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.84	533	533
0.83	20	553
0.79	80	633
0.78	29	663
0.72	330	993
0.71	500	1,493
0.50	20	1,513
0.27	837	2,350
0.20	650	3,000
0.18	400	3,400
0.16	900	4,300
0.15	265	4,565

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
Dr.PNL	Yes	364.6
chessplayer	Yes	100
0xF0e02A54C235B27273FdC63FEf80224E1280016A-1777966205584	Yes	100
doudouc	Yes	80
pppnn	Yes	40
barmaley78	Yes	40
AJSV	Yes	40
Numitus1994	Yes	21
Anony777	Yes	20
boempie	Yes	20
ViscaElBarca	Yes	20
Mustafalafel	No	845.6

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:22:18	SELL	Yes	0.1	50	$5.00
23:37:16	SELL	Yes	0.15	20	$3.00
23:37:09	SELL	Yes	0.15	20	$3.00
23:13:45	SELL	Yes	0.21	20	$4.20
23:13:42	BUY	No	0.7933158015	875	$693.83