PolyBot

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Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 20, 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-21

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.006. down 0.113 over the period, from 0.120. Range 0.002 to 0.245. 27 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.01299
0.013716
0.016521
0.017397418
0.0187425
0.0227432
0.06041473
0.08980553
0.090109662
0.11810672
0.119140812
0.1203201,132

Spread0.011Mid0.007

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0012525

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9992525

Spread0.011Mid0.994

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.98899
0.987716
0.984521
0.983397418
0.9827425
0.9787432
0.94041473
0.91180553
0.910109662
0.88210672
0.881140812
0.8803201,132

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes1,830
ConfusedUngaBungaYes392
AJSVYes50
Johnny-WorkerYes40.75
dognamedreggiYes19.43
jackli003Yes14
2B9SYes10
bjproloYes5
0xa5ef…2966No1,887.02
WaterfallNo447
lightsout912No20.75
0xd1f4531dd0edfC4d5eB3C138D51f232Eee597a37-1763211015395No7

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:00:03BUYYes0.007741650$0.39
14:23:06BUYNo0.99810$9.98
11:59:40BUYNo0.99810$9.98
11:59:40BUYNo0.99810$9.98
11:59:27BUYNo0.9975$4.99
11:03:03BUYNo0.99720$19.94
09:47:51SELLYes0.0032$0.01
09:47:39BUYNo0.99710$9.97
06:59:48BUYNo0.99719$19.17
06:57:16BUYNo0.9920$19.80
01:52:58BUYYes0.0921$1.87
00:23:16BUYNo0.9888814318447$442.03