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Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-07

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.033. up 0.007 over the period, from 0.026. Range 0.013 to 0.080. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0614747
0.062105152
0.06810162
0.069300462
0.0702,0002,462
0.087302,492
0.088202,512
0.105452,557
0.106632,620
0.117502,670
0.118632,733
0.127302,763

Spread0.050Mid0.036

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0115555
0.00975130
0.008125255
0.00240295
0.001245540

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9895555
0.99175130
0.992125255
0.99840295
0.999245540

Spread0.050Mid0.964

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9394747
0.938105152
0.93210162
0.931300462
0.9302,0002,462
0.913302,492
0.912202,512
0.895452,557
0.894632,620
0.883502,670
0.882632,733
0.873302,763

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0x9afc…314bYes389.39
0x2153bEEec2807FfcD89E2B2577eBfA8b8B048085-1765793536033Yes255.5
LornaPredictsYes139.08
zoukmachine38Yes51.24
neverhackmeYes24.99
shiifooYes10.21
thisjustdoesntfeelrightYes7.95
1f2da719e0b226d9d91664b0cfe0659eYes5.01
rocketcryptoYes5
PPMTYes5
0x462d77764F339fb2408AE33Fabbc843496401725-1778196190140Yes5
AJSVYes5
smallreceiptYes2.08
CorlysYes1.05
0xa5ef…2966No334.41
dips.No288
HaradwaithNo145.51
marksmanNo105.26
GUINESS123No24
oleksii23No5.01

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:10:11SELLNo0.9342$1.87
15:56:11BUYNo0.9892$1.98
15:14:26BUYNo0.9875$4.93
14:38:48BUYNo0.9898$7.91
07:31:38BUYYes0.0391390198255$10.00
08:15:53SELLYes0.02110$0.20
07:03:06BUYNo0.978999999323$22.45
07:03:03BUYNo0.97899999773$3.00
07:03:02BUYNo0.97899999776$6.00
07:03:00BUYNo0.978999998110$9.78
07:03:00BUYNo0.97916$15.76
07:03:00BUYNo0.97910$9.79
04:49:54BUYNo0.97910$9.79
04:49:54BUYNo0.97899999786$6.28
04:24:24BUYNo0.97910$9.79
04:24:14BUYNo0.97910$9.79
02:25:39BUYNo0.9934120$19.87
22:10:15BUYNo0.9645$4.82
22:09:44BUYNo0.96445$43.38
22:09:12BUYNo0.96445$43.38
22:08:41BUYNo0.96445$43.38
22:08:11BUYNo0.96445$43.38
22:07:39BUYNo0.96445$43.38
22:07:08BUYNo0.96445$43.38
19:58:35SELLYes0.0047452273174$0.83