PolyBot

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Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.75% or lower before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.013. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.014. Range 0.013 to 0.015. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.017139139
0.0181,2951,433
0.0191,2202,653
0.0201002,753
0.0221002,853
0.0242053,058
0.0274113,469
0.02853,474
0.0292,0005,474
0.0362,3507,824
0.0376,20814,032
0.0385,55519,587

Spread0.008Mid0.013

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.009427427
0.0081,2461,673
0.0071551,828
0.0048002,628
0.0031,3463,973
0.0023,0266,999
0.00138,83645,835

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.991427427
0.9921,2461,673
0.9931551,828
0.9968002,628
0.9971,3463,973
0.9983,0266,999
0.99938,83645,835

Spread0.008Mid0.987

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.983139139
0.9821,2951,433
0.9811,2202,653
0.9801002,753
0.9781002,853
0.9762053,058
0.9734113,469
0.97253,474
0.9712,0005,474
0.9642,3507,824
0.9636,20814,032
0.9625,55519,587

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
thecaricatureYes120
BSS37Yes103.28
ma99Yes100
pootytherewardfarmerYes99
cabbagYes70
AJSVYes65.99
Chrissistar04Yes60.9
0xbada…d874Yes56.76
Numitus1994Yes49.6
b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.Yes38.57
cit500Yes25
phkzYes24.29
0x8c9f…46afYes20
0x1f81…c16eYes15
0x5fe0…33f8Yes15
0x8de3…b8f3Yes15
0x9402…6034Yes15
0xa87f…c74dYes15
0xcf23…e8f6Yes15
0xd4b2…d3c2Yes15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
14:36:22SELLYes0.01650$0.80
16:43:07BUYNo0.988632$624.62
11:20:07SELLNo0.98320$19.66
11:20:07SELLNo0.98320$19.66
11:20:06BUYYes0.016100$1.60
20:34:18BUYYes0.01625$0.40
08:55:00SELLYes0.012568504818$0.22
22:15:57BUYYes0.01670$1.12
21:44:36SELLNo0.98385$83.98
07:05:19SELLNo0.9835$4.92
19:57:22SELLYes0.01140$0.44
19:57:19SELLYes0.01140$0.44
19:57:15SELLYes0.01120$0.22
19:57:10SELLYes0.01140$0.44
19:57:07SELLYes0.0120540$0.48
19:50:12SELLYes0.01820$0.36
19:49:40BUYNo0.9805699142351$344.11
20:57:03BUYNo0.97718$17.19
16:09:57SELLNo0.978139$135.75
16:09:52SELLNo0.9843$42.14
16:08:48SELLNo0.983188$184.80
15:18:58SELLYes0.01610$0.16
14:43:51BUYNo0.980580110536$35.50
13:49:20BUYYes0.0235$0.10
13:49:20BUYYes0.02294511107$2.45