PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04
Resolves by
https://www.fec.gov/
Rewards
50 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.23. up 0.03 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.17 to 0.23. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.242,5672,567
0.255,2007,767
0.2621,33529,103
0.2712,47441,577
0.282,36643,943
0.292,31646,259
0.302,21648,475
0.312,51650,991
0.322,11653,107
0.342,11655,223
0.3640055,623
0.372,11657,739

Spread0.01Mid0.23

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.233,5893,589
0.221,9705,559
0.2113,04118,600
0.203,64122,241
0.191,45423,695
0.184,29327,988
0.179,50037,488
0.15537,493
0.142537,518
0.102037,538
0.091,95739,495
0.085,87545,370

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.773,5893,589
0.781,9705,559
0.7913,04118,600
0.803,64122,241
0.811,45423,695
0.824,29327,988
0.839,50037,488
0.85537,493
0.862537,518
0.902037,538
0.911,95739,495
0.925,87545,370

Spread0.01Mid0.77

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.762,5672,567
0.755,2007,767
0.7421,33529,103
0.7312,47441,577
0.722,36643,943
0.712,31646,259
0.702,21648,475
0.692,51650,991
0.682,11653,107
0.662,11655,223
0.6440055,623
0.632,11657,739

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
BigRabbitYes12,499.63
RailcoolYes2,909.74
fanmtYes1,648
SmartBoyBillyYes521.25
G.HchenYes500
Forrester26Yes250
K80PROYes137.99
sunnynotbunnyYes135.29
mwenyaYes125.67
J.Ch.Yes56
berlinskiesYes55.56
i2dtYes51.8
CornishonYes40
LBZbot2Yes20
phcrux1Yes17.65
MajasYes11.63
random-random123Yes11.5
lulu213Yes8.04
peepeepooppoopYes7.3
MilkyMiloYes5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
17:46:42BUYYes0.23999999018$1.93
17:46:34SELLNo0.7679$60.19
17:46:30BUYYes0.2399999997292$70.00
17:46:30BUYYes0.231,008$231.79
13:16:48SELLNo0.7717$12.97
12:10:43BUYNo0.78100$78.00
12:10:13SELLNo0.77351$270.22
12:10:13SELLYes0.2239$8.61
12:10:12SELLYes0.2260$13.20
12:10:12BUYNo0.7828$21.84
12:10:12BUYYes0.2115840092766$162.14
12:10:12BUYYes0.2197993799997$219.12
12:10:12BUYYes0.2099999993204$42.90
12:10:10BUYYes0.21177$37.25
12:10:10BUYYes0.19977107571,430$285.62
12:10:10BUYNo0.8472$377.77
12:10:10SELLNo0.791,733$1369.31
12:10:10BUYYes0.21280$58.79
03:25:45BUYNo0.8160$48.37
03:25:45BUYNo0.8110$8.33
02:27:03SELLNo0.792$1.85
02:26:49SELLNo0.795$3.95
02:26:49SELLNo0.7941$32.36
02:26:43SELLYes0.1930$5.64
02:25:37BUYNo0.789999985624$19.16