lulu213
0xa25ec815a0ff8f14331f8ef54d0f7bf3a62b2dd7
- Realised P&L
- $-105.38
- Volume
- $23.0k
- Markets traded
- 528
- Open portfolio
- $23.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded528
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration86.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$51.44at 0.071Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 3?
- +$25.73at 0.260Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 9?
- +$24.47at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on July 5?
- +$23.71at 0.078Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 4?
- +$22.66at 0.099Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 6?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 20:58 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.91 | $5.87 |
| 08-04 19:28 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.179999928 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 19:08 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.3099999364 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 17:43 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.0973206442 | $1.33 |
| 08-04 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.2399999184 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 15:28 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.1463414081 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 14:57 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1057691886 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 5? | SELL | 0.0982461185 | $1.71 |
| 08-04 11:42 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.1299999467 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 11:42 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.115003066 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 08:57 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.1211499437 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 07:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on August 4? | SELL | 0.29 | $4.14 |
| 08-04 05:12 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.5890022506 | $7.85 |
| 08-04 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.14999994 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 21:27 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on August 3? | SELL | 0.31 | $4.13 |