J.Ch.
0xf1074a76b18e272c8a8ab4fece7d8ef536b1b9ba
- Realised P&L
- $-1.7k
- Volume
- $312.0k
- Markets traded
- 344
- Open portfolio
- $285.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded344
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election? · Yes | 0.688 | 0.615 | $106.62 | −$12.73 |
| Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2? · Yes | 0.229 | 0.245 | $94.91 | +$6.31 |
| Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.155 | $54.25 | −$1.75 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.250 | $24.50 | −$0.98 |
| Will Natália Svítková win the 2026 Trenčín Region gubernatorial election? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.040 | $5.52 | −$2.33 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$728.15at 0.369Will João Cotrim de Figueiredo win between 14% and 16% of votes in the first round?
- +$608.90at 0.116Will Aaron Guckian win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Republican primary election?
- +$583.35at 0.371Quebec City: Zizou Bergs vs Stefanos Sakellaridis
- +$400.68at 0.307Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of January?
- +$365.84at 0.437Will Stefany Shaheen be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-21 00:23 | Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election? | BUY | 0.55 | $12.85 |
| 10-21 00:20 | Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2? | BUY | 0.16 | $56.00 |
| 10-20 23:06 | Hamilton flips Marshall for Kansas Senate by November 2? | BUY | 0.2287093443 | $88.60 |
| 10-20 22:05 | Will the Democratic Party win the FL-13 House seat? | BUY | 0.26 | $25.48 |
| 10-20 20:33 | Will Eva Nemčovská win the 2026 Trnava mayoral election? | BUY | 0.71 | $106.50 |
| 10-03 23:06 | Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.0777594998 | $3.23 |
| 10-03 23:05 | Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.0606332967 | $1.65 |
| 10-03 22:52 | Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.1710186457 | $1.74 |
| 10-03 22:52 | Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.172 | $2.63 |
| 10-03 22:52 | Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.172 | $3.99 |
| 10-03 22:43 | Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.75 |
| 10-03 22:43 | Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.178 | $1.80 |
| 10-03 22:42 | Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.76 | $17.48 |
| 10-03 22:20 | Will PRO come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.2966327733 | $14.54 |
| 10-03 11:34 | Will LPV come 2nd place in the next Latvian parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.49 | $11.27 |