PolyBot

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Traders

phcrux1

0xc8625094f8b6f88a28fec3a1362caf49bbd53fb2

Realised P&L
$337.50
Volume
$25.8k
Markets traded
1,097
Open portfolio
$588.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,097
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 14:08Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-06 House seat?BUY0.8299999967$5.00
09-18 14:08Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-01 House seat?BUY0.7599999848$2.00
09-18 14:08Will the Democratic Party win the AL-02 House seat?BUY0.3499999825$2.00
09-18 14:07Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?BUY0.7399999734$5.00
09-17 18:06Will Dallas Stars advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?BUY0.4199999496$3.00
09-17 17:25Will the Democratic Party win the CO-04 House seat?BUY0.3399999773$3.00
09-16 20:15Will Montreal Canadiens advance to the Second Round of the 2027 Stanley Cup Playoffs?BUY0.28$2.80
09-16 20:09Will Montreal Canadiens be the 2027 NHL Eastern Conference Champion?BUY0.0519999993$2.00
09-14 14:17Will World Central Kitchen win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0179999999$1.00
09-14 14:17Will Reporters Without Borders win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0139999999$1.00
09-14 14:17Will Committee to Protect Journalists win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.013$1.00
09-14 14:16Will Chow Hang-tung win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.0179999999$1.00
09-14 14:12Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026?BUY0.8799998733$5.00
09-14 14:11Will the Republican Party win the TX-34 House seat?BUY0.2299999517$1.00
09-14 14:11Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?BUY0.64$3.00