PolyBot

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Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-04 House election by 30% or more?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-04

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.029. up 0.017 over the period, from 0.011. Range 0.007 to 0.029. 144 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0506060
0.0982585
0.099590
0.10060149
0.14730179
0.14812191
0.18750241
0.27950291
0.34450341
0.349195536
0.3509545
0.514400945

Spread0.043Mid0.029

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0071111
0.0062031
0.0051041
0.0044990
0.00359148
0.002136284
0.00191376

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9931111
0.9942031
0.9951041
0.9964990
0.99759148
0.998136284
0.99991376

Spread0.043Mid0.972

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9506060
0.9022585
0.901590
0.90060149
0.85330179
0.85212191
0.81350241
0.72150291
0.65650341
0.651195536
0.6509545
0.486400945

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhlYes251.16
xtxpleasecallmeYes124.34
sanduspaceYes119.31
0x66E7ce01C6831B8A2503D09eDD6167152Ee68BcD-1771870353938Yes36.55
LornaPredictsYes20.38
0x08fF96484c5d3ECCa8A2D416C1CC1F29e3C9dB60-1775118744911Yes12.8
velorotYes9
VonVonaghYes5
HaradwaithYes1
0xa5ef…2966No553.62
a5533No20
Hugin-og-MuninNo5
pppnnNo1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
02:56:01BUYYes0.02100$1.99
15:08:07BUYNo0.9974$3.99
15:07:28BUYNo0.9949$8.95
15:07:03BUYNo0.99310$9.93
15:07:00BUYNo0.99318$17.43
15:06:58BUYNo0.9935$4.96
05:04:07BUYYes0.015672131161$0.96
20:00:03BUYNo0.99913$12.79
15:04:19BUYYes0.01111$0.12
11:58:19BUYNo0.99620$19.92
00:46:36BUYNo0.99760$59.82
00:46:36BUYNo0.99754$53.84
00:42:21BUYNo0.9974$4.04
21:08:51BUYNo0.99718$17.95
09:00:14BUYNo0.99730$29.91
09:00:14BUYNo0.99713$12.76
05:54:57BUYNo0.99720$19.94
08:46:34SELLYes0.0411$0.04
17:54:45BUYNo0.9924$3.97
05:55:01SELLYes0.024592592627$0.66
14:35:05BUYNo0.98917$16.76
14:35:05BUYNo0.98915$15.22
22:13:14BUYYes0.0113165809152$1.72
07:52:14SELLNo0.9891$1.09
01:43:28BUYNo0.99720$19.74