Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MN-04 House election by 50%-55%?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Rewards: 20 min size · 5.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.222. up 0.151 over the period, from 0.071. Range 0.059 to 0.344. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.320	20	20
0.516	62	82
0.571	125	207
0.572	5	212
0.574	80	292
0.707	100	392
0.708	20	412
0.710	7	419
0.761	400	819
0.762	5	824
0.764	60	884
0.768	240	1,124

Spread0.197Mid0.222

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.123	74	74
0.120	20	94
0.101	55	149
0.100	121	270
0.099	10	280
0.087	20	300
0.082	60	360
0.033	15	375
0.031	5	380
0.030	20	400
0.028	320	720
0.025	400	1,120

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.877	74	74
0.880	20	94
0.899	55	149
0.900	121	270
0.901	10	280
0.913	20	300
0.918	60	360
0.967	15	375
0.969	5	380
0.970	20	400
0.972	320	720
0.975	400	1,120

Spread0.197Mid0.778

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.680	20	20
0.484	62	82
0.429	125	207
0.428	5	212
0.426	80	292
0.293	100	392
0.292	20	412
0.290	7	419
0.239	400	819
0.238	5	824
0.236	60	884
0.232	240	1,124

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0xrg38dho88o5ho8jerjoheoj848ojhejrhl8drlhl	Yes	465
AJSV	Yes	20.03
sweetj	Yes	20
LornaPredicts	Yes	19
Mojito9	Yes	10
0xa5ef…2966	No	354.6
Haradwaith	No	90.2
oliveiraielson	No	50
lolzzzlol	No	20
cigarettes	No	19.83

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
09:31:09	SELL	No	0.765	20	$15.30
23:07:30	SELL	No	0.563	20	$11.26
23:03:05	BUY	Yes	0.0832075472	265	$22.05
15:45:18	BUY	Yes	0.0989999923	10	$1.01
08:23:00	BUY	Yes	0.06	20	$1.20
08:21:54	BUY	No	0.99	25	$24.35
20:45:44	BUY	No	0.952	20	$19.04
09:39:46	SELL	Yes	0.009	10	$0.09
17:18:34	SELL	Yes	0.013	20	$0.26
15:21:34	SELL	Yes	0.042	10	$0.42
15:20:06	SELL	Yes	0.043	10	$0.43
06:04:52	SELL	No	0.969	10	$9.69
05:55:18	SELL	No	0.96	10	$9.60
04:33:00	BUY	No	0.92	10	$9.20
04:33:00	BUY	No	0.92	10	$9.20
04:33:00	BUY	No	0.92	10	$9.20
04:32:57	BUY	No	0.92	10	$9.20
04:32:49	BUY	No	0.91	10	$9.10
11:49:58	BUY	No	0.96	20	$19.04