oliveiraielson
0x50f4e5c79e05cd27bd08e47b70518732af2804d4
- Realised P&L
- $-377.48
- Volume
- $171.1k
- Markets traded
- 632
- Open portfolio
- $979.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded632
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$229.45at 0.540Belgium leading at halftime?
- +$204.45at 0.590Game Handicap: DCG (-1.5) vs Ground Zero Gaming (+1.5)
- +$44.38at 0.870Exact Score: Uruguay 1 - 1 Spain?
- +$32.14at 0.870Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo?
- +$29.05at 0.947Exact Score: Japan 3 - 0 Sweden?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 00:16 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.39 | $19.50 |
| 10-01 00:16 | Mamdani wears a yarmulke by the end of Channukah? | SELL | 0.171112 | $8.56 |
| 10-01 00:16 | Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by December 31? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.28 |
| 09-30 16:34 | Will Carlos Viana win the second-most votes in the 2026 Minas Gerais Senate election? | SELL | 0.56 | $0.15 |
| 09-30 16:25 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | SELL | 0.815 | $81.51 |
| 09-30 16:25 | Will Omarion Hampton have 749.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.29 | $5.80 |
| 09-30 16:25 | Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026? | SELL | 0.48 | $16.80 |
| 09-30 16:25 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-09 House election by 6%-9%? | SELL | 0.79914 | $39.96 |
| 09-30 16:24 | Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $200M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 09-30 15:50 | Will Andrei Vasilevskiy win the 2026-27 Vezina Trophy? | SELL | 0.86 | $43.00 |
| 09-30 15:50 | Will Solary win WSCI 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $0.23 |
| 09-30 11:33 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-14 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.78 |
| 09-30 07:32 | Will the next Muse model family be named Muse Flame? | SELL | 0.1301 | $6.50 |
| 09-30 06:27 | Will Zane Gonzalez finish as a top-5 K in the 2026-27 NFL season? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 09-30 04:25 | Will the Democratic Party win the UT-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.45 |