Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.60. up 0.10 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.40 to 0.93. 31 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.61	358	358
0.62	820	1,178
0.63	100	1,278
0.64	20	1,298
0.90	21	1,319
0.91	31	1,350
0.95	6	1,356
0.96	375	1,731
0.97	1,666	3,397
0.99	22	3,419

Spread0.01Mid0.60

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.60	480	480
0.59	840	1,320
0.58	132	1,452
0.19	147	1,599
0.14	20	1,619
0.10	21	1,640
0.09	141	1,781
0.08	625	2,406
0.02	5	2,411
0.01	22	2,433

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.40	480	480
0.41	840	1,320
0.42	132	1,452
0.81	147	1,599
0.86	20	1,619
0.90	21	1,640
0.91	141	1,781
0.92	625	2,406
0.98	5	2,411
0.99	22	2,433

Spread0.01Mid0.40

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.39	358	358
0.38	820	1,178
0.37	100	1,278
0.36	20	1,298
0.10	21	1,319
0.09	31	1,350
0.05	6	1,356
0.04	375	1,731
0.03	1,666	3,397
0.01	22	3,419

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x51ae4fd822503E81Be9eA9d5D5E76500C309CE30-1760263931291	Yes	100
tradetosurvive1	Yes	50
just-bettor	Yes	40
SuperTests	Yes	40
Wildanimal	Yes	31
GuyFromTinder	Yes	30
toolFutziYoTin	Yes	22.99
aimei	Yes	21
rubby1337	Yes	20
financegaaaydog	Yes	14.84
rar111	Yes	10
grinder1011	No	356.84
AJSV	No	20
kor-and-m	No	2.99

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
00:18:41	SELL	Yes	0.6	20	$12.00
00:13:29	SELL	Yes	0.6	20	$12.00
16:26:29	BUY	Yes	0.66	20	$13.20
16:18:17	BUY	No	0.3026771649	205	$62.00
15:43:30	BUY	No	0.29	21	$6.09
13:07:29	BUY	Yes	0.8967741935	31	$27.80
13:07:23	BUY	Yes	0.89	10	$8.90
12:47:39	SELL	No	0.24	20	$4.80
10:16:35	BUY	Yes	0.68	23	$15.63
10:02:36	SELL	Yes	0.7	20	$14.00
10:02:20	BUY	No	0.3	20	$6.00
09:37:41	BUY	No	0.24	151	$36.24
06:17:33	BUY	No	0.14	20	$2.80
02:03:24	BUY	No	0.11	21	$2.31