aimei
0xd3ecedcfea21a4dec1e89537d649956e302f7631
- Realised P&L
- $-144.76
- Volume
- $121.7k
- Markets traded
- 299
- Open portfolio
- $87.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded299
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mississippi have D4 (Exceptional Drought) this week? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.780 | $16.38 | −$2.73 |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.55% in October? · No | 0.880 | 0.725 | $15.22 | −$3.25 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.85% in October? · No | 0.890 | 0.789 | $15.00 | −$1.91 |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027? · No | 0.880 | 0.870 | $14.50 | −$0.17 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.95% in October? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.605 | $12.71 | −$5.99 |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.92% in October? · Yes | 0.890 | 0.565 | $11.87 | −$6.83 |
| Will Harry Shum Jr. be eliminated in week 4 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? · No | 0.910 | 0.901 | $0.92 | −$0.01 |
| Will Ezra Frech be eliminated in week 4 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? · No | 0.910 | 0.809 | $0.83 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.76at 0.260Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
- +$101.15at 0.240S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16?
- +$83.29at 0.032Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$82.57at 0.174Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$48.32at 0.221Will Bitcoin reach $120K in July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 14:01 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.57 | $28.50 |
| 07-12 14:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8 | $48.00 |
| 06-12 16:34 | Will Tunisia go unbeaten in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | SELL | 0.08 | $1.68 |
| 06-12 15:36 | Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31? | SELL | 0.9039666667 | $27.12 |
| 06-12 15:35 | Will Ao Tanaka be in Japan's Starting 11? | SELL | 0.85 | $11.05 |
| 06-12 15:34 | Will Nahuel Molina be in Argentina's Starting 11? | SELL | 0.82 | $20.50 |
| 06-12 11:08 | Will Portugal be the highest-scoring team in Group K during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.62 | $9.47 |
| 06-12 11:08 | Will Gerónimo Rulli be in Argentina's Starting 11? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.89 |
| 06-12 11:07 | Will Álex Baena be in Spain's Starting 11? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.80 |
| 06-12 10:57 | Will Ao Tanaka be in Japan's Starting 11? | SELL | 0.88 | $14.96 |
| 06-12 10:56 | Will Yuito Suzuki be in Japan's Starting 11? | SELL | 0.88 | $17.60 |
| 06-12 10:14 | Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.834 | $83.40 |
| 06-01 05:12 | Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31? | SELL | 0.78 | $23.40 |
| 06-01 05:04 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.17 | $17.00 |
| 06-01 05:03 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.171 | $17.10 |