PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.46% in September?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.030. down 0.215 over the period, from 0.245. Range 0.025 to 0.498. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0496969
0.0502,3502,419
0.051502,469
0.0552,2434,712
0.059504,762
0.986194,781
0.987204,801
0.98974,808
0.99084,816
0.995184,834
0.996794,913
0.9974845,397

Spread0.038Mid0.030

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.01166
0.010814
0.0071933
0.0061,6831,716
0.0054502,166
0.004802,246
0.003232,269
0.002722,341
0.00120,15522,495

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.98966
0.990814
0.9931933
0.9941,6831,716
0.9954502,166
0.996802,246
0.997232,269
0.998722,341
0.99920,15522,495

Spread0.038Mid0.970

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9516969
0.9502,3502,419
0.949502,469
0.9452,2434,712
0.941504,762
0.014194,781
0.013204,801
0.01174,808
0.01084,816
0.005184,834
0.004794,913
0.0034845,397

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
GuyFromTinderYes96.77
AJSVYes52.98
2B9SYes39.99
pootytherewardfarmerYes23
frontiertradeYes20.54
tradetosurvive1Yes20
pmqianbaolaileYes20
Miaomi666Yes20
0xa578…6702Yes20
bjproloYes5
tripsomewheresouthYes1.67
Started-with-20-USDNo148.01
HDGBNo106.99
commeowderNo20.04
ScoopdewhoopNo16.36
MrYanDaoNo15
chaosj89No5
LaribobiboNo4.41
pppnnNo3.15
0xbada…d874No1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
01:20:08BUYNo0.995$4.95
20:53:31BUYNo0.96220$19.24
11:24:05SELLNo0.9615$4.80
09:55:15SELLNo0.960$0.04
00:48:32SELLYes0.027$0.13
00:48:28SELLYes0.0333$1.00
02:14:24BUYYes0.27999996256$1.79
00:12:43BUYYes0.310$3.00
21:26:13SELLNo0.7416$12.12
21:56:43BUYNo0.6360734648107$68.05
20:50:25SELLNo0.580$0.13
18:59:16SELLNo0.593$1.86
18:38:34BUYNo0.5842528736174$101.66
18:38:34BUYNo0.632586872620$12.80
11:00:15BUYYes0.419999981720$8.25
10:41:49SELLNo0.5820$11.60
06:10:01SELLYes0.0920$1.80
23:28:19BUYNo0.5320$10.60
16:27:13BUYNo0.38999989543$1.23
16:27:10BUYNo0.389999993637$14.58
16:27:10BUYNo0.3915$5.85
16:27:10BUYNo0.395$1.95