PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

boywonder2

0x26e838bd486a63fd5daf84dc8c191bcd4b834c6f

Realised P&L
$-120.82
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
36
Open portfolio
$67.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded36
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)41.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31? · No0.8700.875$17.50+$0.10
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.20% before 2027? · No0.6000.780$15.60+$3.60
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 5.10% before 2027? · No0.5000.705$14.10+$4.10
Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.90% before 2027? · Yes0.6500.555$11.10−$1.90
AI bubble burst by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1800.185$7.40+$0.20
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3700.135$1.82−$3.18

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 18:49Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.3699999867$5.00
02-22 13:13Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?SELL0.983$19.66
02-10 09:03Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.119999952$1.99
02-10 09:03Solana Up or Down - February 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETBUY0.16$1.59
02-09 14:48S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 9?BUY0.4599999264$3.00
02-09 14:47Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9:45AM-10:00AM ETBUY0.289999964$4.89
02-09 14:46US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?BUY0.0229999944$4.00
02-07 21:34Seahawks vs. PatriotsBUY0.32$1.00
02-07 21:33Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 4:30PM-4:45PM ETBUY0.3099998295$0.98
01-15 14:52Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.18$9.65
01-15 14:52Will PNC Financial Services (PNC) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.0775213333$11.63
01-14 11:02Will Wells Fargo & Co (WFC) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.1899999726$5.00
01-12 13:33Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.09$1.80
01-12 13:31Will BNY (BK) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.1142359983$20.00
12-20 12:17Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?BUY0.002$3.00