Will the 2-year Treasury yield hit 4.95% in October?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.47. down 0.03 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.29 to 0.74. 27 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.50	414	414
0.51	20	434
0.53	200	634
0.56	20	653
0.67	20	673
0.68	58	731
0.96	9	740
0.97	1,726	2,466
0.98	100	2,566
0.99	18	2,585

Spread0.06Mid0.47

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.44	166	166
0.15	214	380
0.08	625	1,005
0.07	97	1,102
0.01	44	1,146

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.56	166	166
0.85	214	380
0.92	625	1,005
0.93	97	1,102
0.99	44	1,146

Spread0.06Mid0.53

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.50	414	414
0.49	20	434
0.47	200	634
0.44	20	653
0.33	20	673
0.32	58	731
0.04	9	740
0.03	1,726	2,466
0.02	100	2,566
0.01	18	2,585

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
radeksaturka	Yes	58
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9	Yes	40
GuyFromTinder	Yes	28.99
financegaaaydog	Yes	22
0x51ae4fd822503E81Be9eA9d5D5E76500C309CE30-1760263931291	Yes	21.5
0x73cf…5b01	Yes	20
boofa	Yes	19.5
7figtc	Yes	12.57
rar111	Yes	3.42
grinder1011	No	140
tradetosurvive1	No	45
tiongbu	No	21
ddadsf	No	10
sadfsadf	No	10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
23:08:42	SELL	No	0.51	10	$5.10
23:08:12	SELL	No	0.51	10	$5.10
23:01:29	BUY	Yes	0.5	20	$10.00
23:01:27	SELL	No	0.5	20	$10.00
20:33:54	SELL	No	0.49	66	$32.34
20:23:03	SELL	No	0.49	24	$11.76
17:05:33	BUY	No	0.5599999809	13	$7.04
17:05:33	SELL	Yes	0.44	13	$5.54
11:50:26	SELL	Yes	0.07	0	$0.02
11:50:20	SELL	Yes	0.44	0	$0.11
10:18:21	SELL	Yes	0.4670651705	23	$10.82
10:17:18	SELL	Yes	0.55	1	$0.69
09:43:26	BUY	Yes	0.2899999974	23	$6.72
09:43:26	BUY	Yes	0.29	1	$0.36
09:43:12	BUY	No	0.31	250	$77.50
09:43:12	BUY	No	0.32	20	$6.32
09:43:12	BUY	No	0.32	21	$6.56
09:43:12	BUY	No	0.32	20	$6.32
09:43:12	BUY	No	0.32	20	$6.40