0x73cfdcd5277426996be2f06cf906f19fba7e5b01
0x73cfdcd5277426996be2f06cf906f19fba7e5b01
- Realised P&L
- $-359.39
- Volume
- $10.9k
- Markets traded
- 256
- Open portfolio
- $31.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded256
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)12.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.19at 0.530Will Kenneth Östberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?
- +$8.62at 0.230Will Mikael Andersson Elfgren be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Västmanland?
- +$7.20at 0.640Will "Widow's Bay" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?
- +$3.84at 0.630Will Monday be the most viewed day of Jesse Watters Primetime for the week of August 10 - August 16?
- +$2.23at 0.352Will the median home value in the US be less than $419,000 on September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 14:18 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 MS-03 House election by 25%-30%? | SELL | 0.223 | $4.46 |
| 09-30 02:46 | Will the Winnipeg Jets record 90+ points? | SELL | 0.56 | $11.20 |
| 09-29 03:02 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? | SELL | 0.522 | $15.66 |
| 09-28 14:16 | Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027? | SELL | 0.361 | $10.83 |
| 09-28 13:21 | Will Jérôme Gagnon win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election? | SELL | 0.34 | $10.20 |
| 09-27 19:04 | Will Augusto Cury win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.61 | $18.30 |
| 09-27 17:36 | Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026? | SELL | 0.838 | $25.14 |
| 09-27 12:46 | Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026? | SELL | 0.271 | $8.02 |
| 09-27 05:38 | Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31? | SELL | 0.36 | $8.63 |
| 09-26 23:52 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KS-03 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.25 | $7.50 |
| 09-26 17:02 | Will Argentina's monthly inflation in September 2026 be between 1.9% and 2.1%? | SELL | 0.41 | $6.59 |
| 09-26 05:27 | Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.345 | $10.35 |
| 09-26 02:23 | Will the Green Party candidate win 35-40% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election? | SELL | 0.12 | $3.60 |
| 09-25 10:40 | Will Mara Rocha win the second-most votes in the 2026 Acre Senate election? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 09-25 09:55 | Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin be between 2,600,000 and 2,800,000? | SELL | 0.38 | $7.60 |