Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.10% before 2027?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-01-01
Rewards: 20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.12. down 0.38 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.08 to 0.50. 33 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.14	16	16
0.15	200	216
0.16	320	536
0.17	400	936
0.40	20	956
0.41	23	979
0.42	100	1,079
0.69	26	1,105
0.73	18	1,123
0.74	80	1,203
0.97	11	1,214
0.98	1,127	2,341

Spread0.04Mid0.12

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	256	256
0.09	120	376
0.08	21	397
0.04	97	494
0.03	185	679
0.02	56	735
0.01	16	751

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	256	256
0.91	120	376
0.92	21	397
0.96	97	494
0.97	185	679
0.98	56	735
0.99	16	751

Spread0.04Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.86	16	16
0.85	200	216
0.84	320	536
0.83	400	936
0.60	20	956
0.59	23	979
0.58	100	1,079
0.31	26	1,105
0.27	18	1,123
0.26	80	1,203
0.03	11	1,214
0.02	1,127	2,341

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
0x033b…5fd4	Yes	80
just-bettor	Yes	80
AJSV	Yes	62.04
29EDa18df836aD93a8c285F97873bBE26118A8da.	Yes	20
0x4629…f3b1	Yes	16
tradetosurvive1	Yes	15
ArmageddonRewardsBilly	No	255.92
aimei	No	16.67
Fortitudo	No	1.12

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
03:07:32	BUY	No	0.89	16	$14.24
03:07:30	SELL	Yes	0.12	16	$1.92
03:07:18	BUY	No	0.88	16	$14.08
03:07:17	SELL	Yes	0.12	16	$1.92
03:07:17	BUY	No	0.88	16	$14.08
03:05:18	BUY	No	0.88	16	$14.08
03:05:17	SELL	Yes	0.12	16	$1.92
03:04:54	SELL	Yes	0.12	17	$2.00
12:17:48	SELL	Yes	0.1	20	$2.00
11:16:32	SELL	Yes	0.1	60	$6.00
11:08:14	BUY	No	0.89	20	$17.80
10:37:59	BUY	No	0.83	336	$278.81
09:17:05	SELL	No	0.85	20	$17.00
09:16:00	SELL	No	0.85	20	$17.00
09:15:59	BUY	Yes	0.14	80	$11.20
09:15:59	BUY	Yes	0.15	20	$3.00
08:25:08	BUY	No	0.889999911	1	$1.00
03:03:48	BUY	Yes	0.1199999976	17	$2.00