Fortitudo
0x0acde3d09972349da7284e15b073c3d6945f34fd
- Realised P&L
- $-25.79
- Volume
- $8.2k
- Markets traded
- 358
- Open portfolio
- $27.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded358
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$24.00at 0.019Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
- +$7.59at 0.499Israel banned from Eurovision 2026 by November 30?
- +$6.12at 0.010Will the price of Bitcoin be above $122,000 on October 2?
- +$5.38at 0.790Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?
- +$5.02at 0.168Bitcoin above $117000 on August 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 19:34 | Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0781280226 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 19:25 | Will Kylian Mbappé record the most goal contributions at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 19:12 | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6139999497 | $2.00 |
| 07-16 19:11 | Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 19:08 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4899999871 | $8.00 |
| 07-16 19:05 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 18:59 | Will Roberto Vannacci be the next Prime Minister of Italy? | BUY | 0.9119999489 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 18:55 | Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by July 31? | BUY | 0.979999939 | $9.00 |
| 07-16 18:42 | Will the Republicans win the South Dakota Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.936 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 18:33 | Will Lamine Yamal score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.988 | $1.02 |
| 07-14 17:44 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.975 | $2.15 |
| 07-14 17:39 | Will Lamine Yamal score 4+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.97 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 17:38 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.625 | $0.75 |
| 07-14 17:36 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7739998731 | $1.00 |
| 07-14 17:33 | Will Futuro Nazionale get at least 3% of the vote in the next Italian general elections? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |