PolyBot

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Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.00% before 2027?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.090. up 0.032 over the period, from 0.059. Range 0.056 to 0.091. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.092667667
0.094130797
0.09561858
0.0992001,058
0.102901,148
0.108301,178
0.122301,208
0.124201,228
0.231201,248
0.321201,268
0.431301,298
0.561301,328

Spread0.003Mid0.090

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0896060
0.08640100
0.08542142
0.07460202
0.03920222
0.03890312
0.0342,9813,293
0.0325003,793
0.0292003,993
0.01194,002
0.010104,012
0.006414,054

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9116060
0.91440100
0.91542142
0.92660202
0.96120222
0.96290312
0.9662,9813,293
0.9685003,793
0.9712003,993
0.98994,002
0.990104,012
0.994414,054

Spread0.003Mid0.909

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.908667667
0.906130797
0.90561858
0.9012001,058
0.898901,148
0.892301,178
0.878301,208
0.876201,228
0.769201,248
0.679201,268
0.569301,298
0.439301,328

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
nj23adsknml3Yes572
xtxpleasecallmeYes111.04
tradetosurvive1Yes55
Numitus1994Yes21.32
financegaaaydogYes20
hithitfarYes18.96
t4zuwbigfjnrsNo572
NoSteinNoGateNo141
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo40
PPMTNo20
Romiche22No16
0x3783CCFd7c0f486b855911A4aF4e31C15B5236d2-1784620073558No7.91
big-bird1No1.41

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
19:57:27BUYYes0.076999999819$1.46
16:04:09SELLNo0.92220$18.44
06:33:09SELLNo0.91920$18.38
03:39:33BUYYes0.04850$2.40
00:33:08BUYNo0.9192056738141$129.61
21:10:45SELLNo0.90640$36.24
14:04:00SELLNo0.90650$45.30
02:52:35SELLNo0.90620$18.12
14:04:09BUYYes0.0624702797572$35.73
18:41:45SELLYes0.04941$2.01
18:41:36SELLYes0.04920$0.98
18:41:35BUYNo0.9424965035572$539.11
12:46:12SELLNo0.9480$75.20
01:02:17SELLYes0.0520$1.00
22:52:36SELLYes0.099$0.84
17:17:15BUYNo0.98$7.12
17:17:14BUYNo0.91$1.27
17:17:12SELLNo0.8916$14.24
12:28:39BUYNo0.89220$17.84
12:28:39SELLYes0.11120$13.20
12:28:39BUYNo0.8920$17.80
10:47:51BUYNo0.8920$17.80
10:38:24BUYNo0.8783471074121$106.28
10:38:05SELLYes0.1620$3.20
10:38:00BUYNo0.8440$33.60