PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-31
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.34. down 0.13 over the period, from 0.47. Range 0.24 to 0.53. 68 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.464040
0.89949
0.92756
0.931470
0.962595
0.97136231
0.9870301
0.99118419

Spread0.24Mid0.34

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.226464
0.21240304
0.2050354
0.185359
0.16126485
0.11360845
0.1020865
0.092401,105
0.0691,114
0.05201,134
0.031051,239
0.021891,428

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.786464
0.79240304
0.8050354
0.825359
0.84126485
0.89360845
0.9020865
0.912401,105
0.9491,114
0.95201,134
0.971051,239
0.981891,428

Spread0.24Mid0.66

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.544040
0.11949
0.08756
0.071470
0.042595
0.03136231
0.0270301
0.01118419

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
youtube-traderYes60
FihdrzgddYes53
G24L8Yes34.32
pootytherewardfarmerYes23
tradetosurvive1Yes20
Leonidas11Yes20
HosoTraderYes20
Miaomi666Yes20
HE110W0R1DYes20
Started-with-20-USDNo217.32
chaosj89No21.96
misha-d1No20
GuyFromTinderNo7
AJSVNo4.04

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
04:18:42BUYNo0.8422$18.45
15:56:44BUYYes0.1634$5.49
14:54:55BUYNo0.4844781888217$105.29
13:52:02BUYNo0.4820$9.60
13:52:02SELLYes0.5293$48.36
19:08:12SELLYes0.5220$10.40
20:16:57BUYNo0.550$25.00
20:15:58SELLYes0.7140$28.40
20:15:22BUYYes0.4683$38.18
17:39:10SELLNo0.584$2.32
17:38:55BUYYes0.324$7.20
17:27:01BUYNo0.5820$11.60
17:26:55BUYNo0.5840$23.20