Polo makes landfall in Mexico as a hurricane?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-07
Resolves by: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/
Rewards: 50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.91. up 0.41 over the period, from 0.50. Range 0.50 to 0.92. 31 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.91	794	794
0.92	250	1,044
0.93	270	1,314
0.94	450	1,764
0.95	200	1,964
0.96	250	2,214
0.97	167	2,381
0.98	450	2,831
0.99	10	2,841

Spread0.01Mid0.91

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.90	180	180
0.89	193	373
0.88	27	401
0.87	33	433
0.85	10	443
0.81	10	453
0.80	15	469
0.78	128	597
0.74	12	609
0.72	50	659
0.56	6	665
0.50	200	865

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.10	180	180
0.11	193	373
0.12	27	401
0.13	33	433
0.15	10	443
0.19	10	453
0.20	15	469
0.22	128	597
0.26	12	609
0.28	50	659
0.44	6	665
0.50	200	865

Spread0.01Mid0.10

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.09	794	794
0.08	250	1,044
0.07	270	1,314
0.06	450	1,764
0.05	200	1,964
0.04	250	2,214
0.03	167	2,381
0.02	450	2,831
0.01	10	2,841

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
rabbit007	Yes	1,221.55
theta-thunberg	Yes	1,207.19
Rex416	Yes	399.32
pykue	Yes	325
Mr.Frog🐸	Yes	199
sdfsdfsdfsdf2	Yes	69
neetbets	Yes	35.62
Maximus374	Yes	6
richierecap	Yes	5
Kastellvalen	Yes	5
Dr.PNL	Yes	4.41
Nd5	Yes	3.33
mjh1979	Yes	2.47
big-bird1	Yes	1.97
sachin5868	Yes	1.22
Suhaslb94	Yes	1.22
0x6bfB52E6D6AA1c485BE7349d027a5e3DC9E2a58C-1782851200285	Yes	1.11
KOVSAN	Yes	1.1
clazzy1	No	2,361.33
extractive-manatee	No	478.74

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
01:43:20	SELL	No	0.09	20	$1.80
01:07:02	BUY	Yes	0.91	1	$1.00
00:15:18	BUY	No	0.09	235	$21.15
00:15:17	BUY	No	0.1	50	$5.00
22:39:47	BUY	Yes	0.93	20	$18.79
22:34:41	SELL	No	0.1	120	$12.00
21:12:38	SELL	Yes	0.88	100	$88.00
19:43:03	BUY	No	0.12	9	$1.08
19:17:38	BUY	Yes	0.9	3	$3.00
16:25:48	BUY	Yes	0.9	1	$1.00
16:16:20	SELL	No	0.1161211998	49	$5.69
16:16:18	BUY	Yes	0.88	199	$175.12
15:33:11	SELL	No	0.12	20	$2.40
12:10:21	SELL	No	0.15	20	$3.00
11:08:20	BUY	Yes	0.84	6	$5.04
10:50:29	BUY	Yes	0.81	100	$81.00
10:15:35	SELL	Yes	0.78	8	$5.94
10:13:51	SELL	Yes	0.79	8	$6.01
09:43:14	BUY	Yes	0.8099999352	2	$2.00
09:09:59	SELL	No	0.19	10	$1.88
09:09:26	BUY	Yes	0.7734004828	120	$92.91
09:09:21	SELL	No	0.24	20	$4.80
09:09:18	SELL	No	0.24	20	$4.80
09:09:15	BUY	Yes	0.75	1,094	$820.36
09:09:15	BUY	Yes	0.76	20	$15.20