extractive-manatee
0xf9f207b77137caa79c6c4516abdef3133db45cba
- Realised P&L
- $75.2k
- Volume
- $18.17M
- Markets traded
- 4,386
- Open portfolio
- $90.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,386
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.2kat 0.053Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$3.7kat 0.007Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
- +$3.3kat 0.434Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$3.1kat 0.140Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$3.1kat 0.101Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 01:33 | Will Nico Collins have 10.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.25 | $31.00 |
| 09-17 01:32 | Will Jefferies (JEF) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.3255552028 | $41.02 |
| 09-17 01:04 | Will Nico Collins have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.4168152866 | $52.35 |
| 09-16 19:05 | Will Celta Vigo reach the 2027 UEFA Europa League quarterfinal? | SELL | 0.434 | $43.40 |
| 09-16 18:29 | Will Austria win 2026-27 Nations League Group B3? | BUY | 0.6537036077 | $176.49 |
| 09-16 18:22 | Will Germany win 2026-27 Nations League Group A2? | BUY | 0.3895229934 | $1.4k |
| 09-16 18:06 | Will Bulgaria win 2026-27 Nations League Group C4? | BUY | 0.1263303595 | $115.55 |
| 09-16 17:49 | Will Slovakia win 2026-27 Nations League Group C3? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 17:48 | Will Moldova win 2026-27 Nations League Group C3? | BUY | 0.7367654987 | $273.34 |
| 09-16 17:37 | Will Ukraine win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2? | BUY | 0.61 | $12.20 |
| 09-16 17:36 | Will Georgia win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2? | BUY | 0.16 | $112.00 |
| 09-16 17:17 | Will Nigeria win AFCON 2027 qualifying Group L? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 16:23 | Will the Vikings win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.84 |
| 09-16 16:23 | Will the season series between the Packers and Vikings end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.5612121212 | $185.20 |
| 09-16 14:39 | Will the median home value in Miami be between $1,053,000 and $1,089,000 on September 30? | BUY | 0.92 | $0.50 |