extractive-manatee
0xf9f207b77137caa79c6c4516abdef3133db45cba
- Realised P&L
- $84.0k
- Volume
- $18.93M
- Markets traded
- 5,458
- Open portfolio
- $190.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,458
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.2kat 0.053Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$3.7kat 0.007Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
- +$3.3kat 0.434Will Coursera (COUR) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$3.1kat 0.101Will American Express (AXP) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$3.1kat 0.049Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 21:20 | Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.6094316696 | $1.6k |
| 11-01 21:19 | Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.5646337548 | $288.45 |
| 11-01 21:18 | Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.516961326 | $93.57 |
| 11-01 21:07 | Will the Cincinnati Bengals make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | BUY | 0.2322328454 | $54.90 |
| 11-01 21:05 | Will Jameson Williams have 5.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.9491160622 | $183.18 |
| 11-01 20:41 | Will Tony Pollard have 5.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.9858127141 | $258.97 |
| 11-01 19:35 | Will Justin Jefferson have 4.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.0372727273 | $2.05 |
| 11-01 19:33 | Will Brock Bowers have 3.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.0020073841 | $0.95 |
| 11-01 19:02 | Will Josh Allen have 9.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.91 | $124.36 |
| 11-01 18:48 | Will the Pittsburgh Steelers have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? | BUY | 0.73 | $87.60 |
| 11-01 06:09 | Will the median home value in the US be between $415,000 and $419,000 on December 31? | SELL | 0.9892684711 | $270.47 |
| 11-01 06:08 | Will Texas State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.4261538462 | $33.24 |
| 11-01 06:07 | Will Texas State have more than 7.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.1618213464 | $11.25 |
| 11-01 03:21 | Will Nebraska have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | SELL | 0.164749059 | $21.01 |
| 11-01 02:56 | Will Georgia be a top 4 seed in the 2027 College Football Playoffs? | BUY | 0.59 | $3.81 |