PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.20. down 0.26 over the period, from 0.46. Range 0.14 to 0.46. 37 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.261212
0.27147160
0.3015175
0.4217192
0.48100292
0.67200492
0.6888580
0.745101,090
0.761001,190
0.811001,290
0.8461,296
0.8991,305

Spread0.12Mid0.20

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.144040
0.113070
0.10120190
0.09287477
0.085482
0.07331813
0.062001,013
0.051551,168
0.042,0083,176
0.031,5634,739
0.023,5948,332
0.018,14416,477

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.864040
0.893070
0.90120190
0.91287477
0.925482
0.93331813
0.942001,013
0.951551,168
0.962,0083,176
0.971,5634,739
0.983,5948,332
0.998,14416,477

Spread0.12Mid0.80

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.741212
0.73147160
0.7015175
0.5817192
0.52100292
0.33200492
0.3288580
0.265101,090
0.241001,190
0.191001,290
0.1661,296
0.1191,305

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
HillYes266.41
arbokbroYes70.1
molodoyyYes63.5
AJSVYes30.4
tradetosurvive1Yes30
0x065c5A009A38374E94f6C6c1b3Bb7879594D9E6a-1767520893559Yes30
pootytherewardfarmerYes27
PenoooooYes20
LornaPredictsYes20
GuyFromTinderYes19.93
dgfd76Yes12.12
TeenagePandaYes6.47
0x8e8208EF4D217dA3608479639dAA218a52EC30aF-1772207100223Yes5
0x0a069Yes4.35
gxcbegwagYes3.7
QMG-CORENo287.42
StarMasterNo200
zk1984No52.65
0xfec464f25Ce66AaEb9Bd4Ecb94b7184520bCCFc8-1741783184737No36.11
Suet-LamNo16

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
10:07:20BUYNo0.85999998283$3.00
09:47:15BUYYes0.26999985424$1.00
09:39:32BUYYes0.1876772483266$50.00
08:53:30BUYYes0.1530$4.50
07:57:09BUYYes0.2220$4.40
07:14:24BUYNo0.85999995973$2.56
07:13:50BUYNo0.8324$20.33
07:13:41BUYNo0.8191313277263$215.37
04:49:05BUYYes0.22999982754$1.00
04:05:39BUYYes0.235$1.15
01:07:53BUYNo0.77999998136$5.00
21:18:27BUYYes0.201609195444$8.77
14:26:30BUYNo0.82999997922$2.00
14:25:05SELLYes0.173$0.53
14:25:03SELLYes0.196$1.07
14:25:00SELLYes0.211$2.25
14:24:59SELLYes0.217$3.38
14:24:57SELLYes0.223$0.68
14:24:56BUYNo0.779745200$155.95
11:11:57BUYNo0.783$2.00
10:21:33BUYYes0.259999955415$3.96
10:17:09SELLYes0.2130$6.25
10:02:30SELLYes0.234$6.83
10:02:23SELLYes0.28$1.54
09:53:26SELLYes0.28$1.50