PolyBot

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Traders

arbokbro

0x0cc7d88b8890e876766666de07f8cad98778bc74

Realised P&L
$-5.17
Volume
$65.2k
Markets traded
106
Open portfolio
$34.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded106
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0180.004$9.61−$33.63
US government bans an open source AI model in 2026? · Yes0.1960.070$8.87−$16.01
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0420.029$6.82−$3.26
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0070.005$4.40−$1.20
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.1010.008$1.48−$17.24
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0500.004$1.20−$13.83
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0040.001$0.96−$7.89
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0610.002$0.65−$19.34
Will Dune: Messiah be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes0.0190.002$0.53−$6.08
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$1.59
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00−$7.60
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$4.84
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? · No0.0530.000$0.00−$1.06
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of July 2026? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$3.82
Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks at NASA? · Yes0.3080.000$0.00−$9.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 16:14Will Trump say "Moon Base" during remarks at NASA?SELL0.4$8.00
08-28 11:16Will Trump say "Space Force" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.13$7.88
08-28 11:04Will Trump say "Flag" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.25$5.00
08-28 10:58Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?SELL0.67$13.40
08-26 21:09Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.19$7.60
08-26 21:07Will Trump say "Alien" during remarks at NASA?SELL0.1144528571$8.01
08-26 20:36Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.16$3.44
08-26 20:34Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.022$3.26
08-26 12:51Will Trump say "Mission" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.08$6.96
08-26 12:48Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.19$4.37
08-26 12:47Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.3078516129$9.54
08-26 12:47Will Trump say "Moon Base" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.24$4.80
08-26 12:46Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.33$6.60
08-26 12:41Will Trump say "Alien" during remarks at NASA?BUY0.14$9.80
08-26 12:38Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026?SELL0.0013404557$5.11