arbokbro
0x0cc7d88b8890e876766666de07f8cad98778bc74
- Realised P&L
- $-5.17
- Volume
- $65.2k
- Markets traded
- 106
- Open portfolio
- $34.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded106
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.82at 0.160Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$49.67at 0.637Will Trump say "Transgender" during Michigan remarks?
- +$48.11at 0.109Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$29.70at 0.258Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 16?
- +$18.02at 0.808Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 Superheavy explode?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 16:14 | Will Trump say "Moon Base" during remarks at NASA? | SELL | 0.4 | $8.00 |
| 08-28 11:16 | Will Trump say "Space Force" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.13 | $7.88 |
| 08-28 11:04 | Will Trump say "Flag" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 10:58 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA? | SELL | 0.67 | $13.40 |
| 08-26 21:09 | Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.19 | $7.60 |
| 08-26 21:07 | Will Trump say "Alien" during remarks at NASA? | SELL | 0.1144528571 | $8.01 |
| 08-26 20:36 | Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.16 | $3.44 |
| 08-26 20:34 | Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.022 | $3.26 |
| 08-26 12:51 | Will Trump say "Mission" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.08 | $6.96 |
| 08-26 12:48 | Will Trump say "Elon" or "Musk" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.37 |
| 08-26 12:47 | Will Trump say "Oil," "Gas," or "Gasoline" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.3078516129 | $9.54 |
| 08-26 12:47 | Will Trump say "Moon Base" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 08-26 12:46 | Will Trump say "Nuclear" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 08-26 12:41 | Will Trump say "Alien" during remarks at NASA? | BUY | 0.14 | $9.80 |
| 08-26 12:38 | Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | SELL | 0.0013404557 | $5.11 |