Penooooo
0x615fcf4178880264f66d9022d6600d1db0e75f37
- Realised P&L
- $-52.11
- Volume
- $103.8k
- Markets traded
- 880
- Open portfolio
- $581.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded880
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration5.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$672.14at 0.050Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$198.21at 0.009Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on May 17?
- +$70.22at 0.122Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?
- +$52.32at 0.572Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
- +$47.52at 0.099Will the highest temperature in Austin be 88°F or higher on May 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 06:14 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 10-01 06:14 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $12.00 |
| 10-01 06:11 | Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 10-01 06:08 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $25.90 |
| 09-29 06:19 | Next White House Press Secretary announced by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $15.60 |
| 09-28 17:50 | Will US crude oil reserves fall to 280M by October 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $13.20 |
| 09-27 11:58 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.051975 | $10.39 |
| 09-27 11:58 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.0508333333 | $1.52 |
| 09-27 11:57 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 09-27 11:57 | Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.067 | $10.05 |
| 09-27 10:12 | Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.052 | $10.40 |
| 09-27 07:55 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $11.70 |
| 09-26 09:20 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? | BUY | 0.52 | $15.60 |
| 09-24 14:02 | Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $7.00 |
| 09-24 06:20 | Will the next Claude Sonnet model be released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $8.80 |