0x8e8208EF4D217dA3608479639dAA218a52EC30aF-1772207100223
0xfaab530600c13e612fbbf563472cf855f17102ff
- Realised P&L
- $8.44
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $49.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.25at 0.608Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?
- +$4.98at 0.751Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$4.16at 0.580Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.62at 0.907Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$0.51at 0.780Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:05 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 08-03 04:05 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 08-03 04:03 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.10 |
| 08-03 04:02 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.60 |
| 08-03 04:02 | Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 08-03 03:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 08-03 03:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August? | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 08-03 03:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 07-30 09:48 | Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 07-29 09:34 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 07-24 16:54 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $0.30 |
| 07-24 08:13 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.749 | $7.49 |
| 07-16 02:51 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 07-12 14:17 | Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12? | BUY | 0.7799999719 | $20.00 |
| 07-10 19:19 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.1675000062 | $4.65 |