PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x8e8208EF4D217dA3608479639dAA218a52EC30aF-1772207100223

0xfaab530600c13e612fbbf563472cf855f17102ff

Realised P&L
$8.44
Volume
$1.2k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$49.02

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 04:05Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?BUY0.23$1.15
08-03 04:05Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.58$5.80
08-03 04:03Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?BUY0.51$5.10
08-03 04:02Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 50% or higher?BUY0.72$3.60
08-03 04:02Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?BUY0.54$5.40
08-03 03:58Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August?BUY0.73$3.65
08-03 03:58Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in August?BUY0.44$4.40
08-03 03:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.42$4.20
07-30 09:48Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?BUY0.54$5.40
07-29 09:34Will the next Claude Opus model be released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.49$4.90
07-24 16:54Will the next Claude Opus model be released on July 24, 2026?BUY0.06$0.30
07-24 08:13Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.749$7.49
07-16 02:51Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.58$5.80
07-12 14:17Will Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?BUY0.7799999719$20.00
07-10 19:19Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.1675000062$4.65