PolyBot

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Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be at least 12 hours?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Resolves by
https://www.githubstatus.com/
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.12. up 0.04 over the period, from 0.08. Range 0.08 to 0.47. 106 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.132929
0.38534
0.395084
0.5840124
0.5925149
0.74125274
0.9450324
0.9520344
0.9635379
0.987385
0.996331,018

Spread0.02Mid0.12

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.112323
0.091538
0.04185223
0.03300523
0.021,0051,528
0.01871,615

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.892323
0.911538
0.96185223
0.97300523
0.981,0051,528
0.99871,615

Spread0.02Mid0.88

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.872929
0.62534
0.615084
0.4240124
0.4125149
0.26125274
0.0650324
0.0520344
0.0435379
0.027385
0.016331,018

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes165.89
0x3a9d…f332Yes20
Numitus1994Yes6.43
0x40C73F1916fbd495f8117Dc5755561aD778CB1E8-1782111633519Yes5
BigsomethingNo70
FihdrzgddNo44.23
0xa5ef…2966No43.05
GuyFromTinderNo22.62
hamid1919No6.42
ZhouCDNo5.81
youtube-traderNo3.76
palochkaNo1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:30:28BUYYes0.139999995915$2.04
18:30:28BUYYes0.1315$1.95
17:15:34BUYYes0.12999999429$1.12
16:10:58SELLNo0.8720$17.40
16:10:47BUYYes0.1320$2.60
16:10:47BUYYes0.129999998464$8.35
16:10:47BUYYes0.1320$2.60
12:42:46BUYYes0.12999998798$1.07
08:33:22SELLYes0.126$0.77
07:28:55SELLYes0.126$0.72
07:28:55BUYNo0.886$5.28
21:28:25BUYYes0.1420$2.80
20:12:29SELLYes0.044117647151$2.25
13:30:32BUYNo0.77999999076$5.01
13:30:32BUYNo0.77999999076$5.01
13:30:06BUYNo0.7851$39.78
10:52:53BUYNo0.745$3.70
10:28:39BUYYes0.209999995910$2.06
06:31:48BUYNo0.621$0.62
06:30:11BUYNo0.6219$11.78
06:16:11BUYYes0.2720$5.40
02:24:09BUYNo0.7719$14.63
23:13:56BUYYes0.2520$5.00
09:32:47BUYNo0.5720$11.40
09:31:41BUYYes0.2620$5.20