PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 26-November 1?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-11-02
Rewards
20 min size · 8.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.105. up 0.005 over the period, from 0.100. Range 0.070 to 0.520. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.19055
0.3546570
0.3552090
0.43035125
0.50240165
0.65840205
0.8075210
0.80840250
0.9105255
0.98919274
0.99021295
0.99571366

Spread0.169Mid0.105

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0213030
0.020100130
0.01116146
0.010510656
0.00240696
0.00187783

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9793030
0.980100130
0.98916146
0.990510656
0.99840696
0.99987783

Spread0.169Mid0.895

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.81055
0.6466570
0.6452090
0.57035125
0.49840165
0.34240205
0.1935210
0.19240250
0.0905255
0.01119274
0.01021295
0.00571366

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
ragutwoYes461.99
xtxpleasecallmeYes349.82
MaxVisionYes187.6
frontiertradeYes80
fiveboomsYes75.78
rocky42007Yes65.07
pootytherewardfarmerYes57.34
LornaPredictsYes42.88
ms1910Yes40
a5533Yes39.99
0x28a6…d399Yes37
DrShredzYes36.34
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes20
gfdgfvfvssddYes15.89
haouibaoYes15
sm-02Yes10.9
test-mentionYes5
0xa5ef…2966No748.4
RogerFedNo300
K80PRONo120

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:40:46BUYNo0.91510$9.15
23:40:43BUYNo0.91510$9.15
17:46:00SELLNo0.9420$18.69
17:45:58SELLNo0.9420$18.80
17:40:54BUYNo0.9520$19.00
17:07:34SELLNo0.9230$27.60
17:06:57SELLNo0.9420$18.68
17:06:55SELLNo0.9420$18.80
17:04:51BUYNo0.9220$18.40
17:04:34BUYNo0.9220$18.40
17:04:24BUYNo0.921$1.00
17:04:24BUYNo0.9220$18.40
16:53:24BUYYes0.125$0.60
13:01:42BUYNo0.87999999820$17.79
13:01:40BUYNo0.870222216220$17.80
13:01:34BUYNo0.870216783820$17.79
13:01:33BUYNo0.870222216220$17.80
13:01:33BUYNo0.882$1.49
07:31:58BUYNo0.85999989971$1.20
04:47:43BUYNo0.8730$26.10
04:16:58BUYNo0.8720$17.40
02:00:10BUYNo0.860857142921$18.08
00:14:31SELLYes0.1532$4.76
21:18:28BUYNo0.8530$25.50
21:05:03SELLYes0.15154$23.03