Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between November 2-November 8?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-11-09
Resolves by: https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
Rewards: 20 min size · 8.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.121. down 0.069 over the period, from 0.190. Range 0.015 to 0.385. 87 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.228	13	13
0.229	63	75
0.342	20	95
0.350	20	115
0.452	30	145
0.453	112	257
0.498	45	302
0.499	50	352
0.501	20	372
0.509	50	422
0.510	5	427
0.589	20	447

Spread0.213Mid0.121

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.015	6	6
0.014	30	36
0.013	138	175
0.010	10	185
0.004	20	205
0.003	200	405
0.002	5	410
0.001	335	745

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.985	6	6
0.986	30	36
0.987	138	175
0.990	10	185
0.996	20	205
0.997	200	405
0.998	5	410
0.999	335	745

Spread0.213Mid0.879

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.772	13	13
0.771	63	75
0.658	20	95
0.650	20	115
0.548	30	145
0.547	112	257
0.502	45	302
0.501	50	352
0.499	20	372
0.491	50	422
0.490	5	427
0.411	20	447

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	171.22
flexer78	Yes	62.5
shiifoo	Yes	44.8
Trufa-Negra	Yes	27.16
pootytherewardfarmer	Yes	21.9
GuyFromTinder	Yes	20.1
Haradwaith	Yes	20
velorot	Yes	20
LornaPredicts	Yes	18.99
mountaingreen	Yes	12.76
haveagoodday	Yes	1
Udonsan	No	232.25
0xa5ef…2966	No	164.01
gfg44433	No	20
random-random123	No	5

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
10:39:07	BUY	Yes	0.036	17	$0.61
09:55:39	BUY	No	0.985	13	$12.56
08:41:33	BUY	Yes	0.035	8	$0.27
08:41:03	SELL	Yes	0.014	18	$0.25
05:49:25	BUY	Yes	0.036	20	$0.72
05:49:25	BUY	Yes	0.0368159193	27	$1.00
05:03:43	BUY	No	0.9837575758	83	$81.16
10:58:16	BUY	Yes	0.046	12	$0.56
09:48:19	BUY	No	0.98	5	$4.90
09:48:16	BUY	No	0.974	50	$48.70
13:13:09	BUY	No	0.981	5	$4.91
03:35:46	BUY	No	0.899	20	$17.98
02:54:15	BUY	No	0.9847116	25	$24.62
02:32:36	BUY	Yes	0.029	20	$0.58
04:32:10	BUY	No	0.87	42	$36.45
03:36:58	BUY	No	0.86	20	$17.29
03:16:11	BUY	No	0.82	20	$16.40
02:37:56	BUY	Yes	0.25	20	$5.00
02:26:49	BUY	Yes	0.2	20	$4.00