PolyBot

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Stephen Colbert by October 31, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-31
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.05. down 0.15 over the period, from 0.20. Range 0.05 to 0.24. 151 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.075353
0.084395
0.1040135
0.9512147
0.9620167
0.97105272
0.985277
0.9920297

Spread0.04Mid0.05

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.034343
0.0261104
0.0141144

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.974343
0.9861104
0.9941144

Spread0.04Mid0.95

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.935353
0.924395
0.9040135
0.0512147
0.0420167
0.03105272
0.025277
0.0120297

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
a5533Yes85
7...44444Yes52.83
Numitus1994Yes42.5
xtxpleasecallmeYes26.09
1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb9Yes20
hfvYes20
bjproloYes10
pppnnYes9.5
AxvidNo103.33
aljarreauNo61
0xf51b…ca1bNo40.75
0x86aB76EbBD2DFA240674f2E000b2e3694ccdb0A4-1791004131407No40
lydial0571No9.5
WartlockNo6.1
OptumNo5.25

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
03:40:28BUYNo0.9941$40.34
03:38:33BUYNo0.9678071991103$100.00
22:10:01BUYNo0.916$14.40
18:42:33BUYNo0.88540$35.40
17:36:52BUYNo0.8820$17.60
17:36:43BUYNo0.8820$17.60
17:28:34BUYNo0.885$4.40
17:36:49BUYNo0.935$4.88
05:47:41BUYNo0.8410$7.98
05:47:40BUYNo0.8420$16.80
05:45:08BUYNo0.8320$16.60
09:18:17SELLYes0.1920$3.80
11:38:41BUYYes0.1920$3.80
22:05:18SELLYes0.156$0.91
22:05:17SELLYes0.176$1.04
05:46:48BUYNo0.81999999676$5.00