PolyBot

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Traders

Optum

0xe95f9749c4b39a34a4ac5a0a850d2c910f753d98

Realised P&L
$-4.76
Volume
$43.57
Markets traded
7
Open portfolio
$4.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded7
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration64.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16? · Yes0.7600.865$4.54+$0.55
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET · Down0.7000.000$0.00−$4.72

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 16:40Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 16?BUY0.76$3.99
10-09 10:10Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 9?BUY0.997$5.22
10-08 19:00Will OpenAI announce that it has resumed training on October 8, 2026?BUY0.997$5.22
10-07 07:13Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.973$5.35
10-06 22:34Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.974$5.36
10-05 16:55Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 5, 2026?BUY0.989$5.03
06-18 12:31Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:45AM ETBUY0.7$4.72