PolyBot

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Mark Carney by September 30, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-09-30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.80. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.82. Range 0.78 to 0.94. 169 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.81150150
0.82309459
0.8340499
0.85100599
0.9095694
0.9857751
0.998759

Spread0.02Mid0.80

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.799595
0.78345440
0.7740480
0.765485
0.7220505
0.6465570
0.63243812
0.5368880
0.523561,236
0.513221,558
0.503001,858
0.42501,908

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.219595
0.22345440
0.2340480
0.245485
0.2820505
0.3665570
0.37243812
0.4768880
0.483561,236
0.493221,558
0.503001,858
0.58501,908

Spread0.02Mid0.20

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.19150150
0.18309459
0.1740499
0.15100599
0.1095694
0.0257751
0.018759

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
karachikingYes277.01
AiBirdYes88.41
JonnyAYes40
SenjorYes40
lievreYes39.99
tradetosurvive1Yes33
IUSEBOTYes30
pootytherewardfarmerYes25
ETNONAMEYes12.43
AIfanYes10.64
0x5449…992bYes7.53
FluoYes7.01
VSikaYes5.43
crossFiterYes5
LornaPredictsYes2.5
ghorrockYes2
OlcanNo250.5
TojeTest2No107.3
nana130299No60
AJSVNo34.63

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
07:55:46BUYYes0.804729022812$10.00
07:10:52SELLYes0.7926$20.54
06:13:18BUYNo0.209999998324$5.00
19:43:04BUYNo0.17999998566$1.00
17:14:06BUYNo0.15$0.54
15:44:24BUYYes0.925$5.00
12:57:34SELLYes0.88108$95.30
07:47:39BUYYes0.939999998111$10.00
22:09:52BUYNo0.11999999048$1.00
20:28:33BUYNo0.089999992811$1.00
10:51:09SELLYes0.9226$23.92
12:12:16BUYYes0.9540$38.00
21:32:34BUYYes0.8140$32.40
12:25:46SELLNo0.220$4.00
12:25:42BUYYes0.7926$20.54
07:40:01SELLYes0.7829$22.32
17:04:45SELLYes0.7520$15.00
19:51:27BUYYes0.81$1.10
19:51:24BUYYes0.782580$62.60
11:57:49SELLYes0.6620$13.20
11:57:48BUYNo0.1863979837107$20.00
23:15:48BUYYes0.89859375128$115.02
23:15:37BUYYes0.606100$60.60
10:36:21SELLNo0.49102$49.98
10:23:51SELLNo0.4986962823138$68.82