JonnyA
0x38d5a13ef8e32d5e5a808ceba52d6ac78d4c063c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $453.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,091
- Open portfolio
- $15.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,091
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$404.81at 0.783Will another person win the Defi App trading competition?
- +$249.50at 0.001Counter-Strike: InControl vs F5 Esports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League North America Cup #3 Playoffs
- +$224.00at 0.735US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
- +$200.13at 0.930Will Kim Kardashian pass the bar exam by May 3?
- +$197.93at 0.728Will Jim Parillo win the Legend Trade Series?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 03:56 | Will Kenneth Walker III finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.60 |
| 08-03 03:03 | Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 08-03 01:07 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by August 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.85 |
| 08-02 22:11 | Will Mason Miller be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline? | BUY | 0.869 | $26.07 |
| 08-02 21:14 | Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee? | SELL | 0.2 | $0.95 |
| 08-02 19:54 | Will Yordan Alvarez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season? | SELL | 0.79 | $69.25 |
| 08-02 19:32 | Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week? | SELL | 0.7 | $17.50 |
| 08-02 15:39 | Will Nick Kurtz win the 2026 American League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.014748 | $0.44 |
| 08-02 14:20 | Will anyone say "Surrender" during House of the Dragon E7 S3? | SELL | 0.89 | $16.18 |
| 08-02 01:51 | Will the Arizona Diamondbacks have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season? | SELL | 0.326 | $45.77 |
| 08-02 01:45 | Will Michael be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.0327725 | $7.87 |
| 08-02 01:29 | Will Project Hail Mary be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? | SELL | 0.02 | $2.10 |
| 08-01 23:41 | Will Virtus.Pro Win EWC 2026 Rainbow Six Siege | SELL | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 22:35 | Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.70 |
| 08-01 22:01 | Will Josh Hader be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline? | BUY | 0.934 | $93.40 |