PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

JonnyA

0x38d5a13ef8e32d5e5a808ceba52d6ac78d4c063c

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$453.2k
Markets traded
2,091
Open portfolio
$15.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,091
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the San Francisco Giants clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · No0.9380.992$840.85+$44.97
Will the Washington Nationals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · No0.8510.925$586.35+$46.85
Will Erling Haaland be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year? · No0.9220.905$416.53$7.83
Will Chris Sale win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · No0.9690.952$399.12$7.14
Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 NL West title? · No0.8780.990$362.02+$40.96
Will Munetaka Murakami win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? · No0.8970.843$311.72$20.25
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026? · No0.9660.926$303.14$13.10
Will Caitlin Clark have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · No0.9510.966$289.65+$4.35
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title? · No0.8460.499$285.39$198.39
Will Gabby Williams have the highest steals per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · No0.9670.978$285.38+$3.12
Will Christian Walker win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? · No0.9890.991$281.44+$0.57
Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · Yes0.6580.760$273.60+$36.80
Will Cristopher Sánchez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season? · No0.9340.968$253.02+$8.93
Will the San Diego Padres clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? · No0.7060.615$252.84$37.47
Will the Philadelphia Phillies hit the most home runs in the 2026 MLB regular season? · No0.9830.984$216.48+$0.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:56Will Kenneth Walker III finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns?SELL0.06$0.60
08-03 03:03Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.91$18.20
08-03 01:07Will Donald Trump publicly insult Alex Jones by August 31, 2026?SELL0.1$5.85
08-02 22:11Will Mason Miller be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline?BUY0.869$26.07
08-02 21:14Will Ryan Elijah be the FL-07 Republican nominee?SELL0.2$0.95
08-02 19:54Will Yordan Alvarez have the highest batting average in the 2026 MLB regular season?SELL0.79$69.25
08-02 19:32Will Trump say "Epic Fury" this week?SELL0.7$17.50
08-02 15:39Will Nick Kurtz win the 2026 American League MVP Award?SELL0.014748$0.44
08-02 14:20Will anyone say "Surrender" during House of the Dragon E7 S3?SELL0.89$16.18
08-02 01:51Will the Arizona Diamondbacks have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?SELL0.326$45.77
08-02 01:45Will Michael be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?SELL0.0327725$7.87
08-02 01:29Will Project Hail Mary be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?SELL0.02$2.10
08-01 23:41Will Virtus.Pro Win EWC 2026 Rainbow Six SiegeSELL0.05$1.00
08-01 22:35Will Digger win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?SELL0.05$1.70
08-01 22:01Will Josh Hader be traded by the 2026 MLB Trade Deadline?BUY0.934$93.40