PolyBot

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Will Dario Amodei attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-10-08

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.059. down 0.085 over the period, from 0.145. Range 0.003 to 0.295. 90 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1105050
0.1132474
0.20088162
0.73864226
0.739100326
0.74080406
0.8895411
0.8909420
0.93014434
0.96025459
0.97910469
0.98050519

Spread0.101Mid0.059

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0092626
0.0083056
0.0073490
0.006128218
0.005200418
0.00431449
0.00340489
0.00249538
0.001179717

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9912626
0.9923056
0.9933490
0.994128218
0.995200418
0.99631449
0.99740489
0.99849538
0.999179717

Spread0.101Mid0.941

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8905050
0.8872474
0.80088162
0.26264226
0.261100326
0.26080406
0.1115411
0.1109420
0.07014434
0.04025459
0.02110469
0.02050519

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
0xbae5…05f3Yes478.77
tradetosurvive1Yes152.16
0x610c40ff4c122046aYes88
CorArm999Yes58.89
.avaronYes55
Dr.PNLYes48.51
AJSVYes40.73
0x2F7c906F2b9Fc53AC7D56e69508C6CDbda37208A-1772259957974Yes32.37
sanmos111Yes20
bjproloYes8
0xC2cAb36AC330e3f7DFcaE56fe1F0A89940f804f5-1771535889353Yes1.99
.baviroYes1
.telvionYes1
.iaviroYes1
.riveronYes1
.rravioYes1
.sorvyxYes1
.saelrixYes1
.kaviroxYes1
.selvionYes1

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
13:30:38SELLNo0.911$0.57
07:35:20BUYYes0.4177370002479$200.00
23:21:23BUYYes0.01100$1.00
22:09:38SELLYes0.0026$0.01
22:09:38SELLYes0.00214$0.03
21:51:53SELLYes0.002434450$0.12
21:51:18SELLYes0.00520$0.10
21:50:06SELLYes0.018$0.08
21:49:44SELLYes0.03128$3.84
21:49:41SELLYes0.03728$1.04
21:49:35SELLYes0.03835940$1.53
21:49:32BUYNo0.9620$19.16
21:49:32SELLYes0.042268$11.26
21:49:32BUYNo0.959722746721$19.80
21:49:32BUYNo0.95871420$19.17
21:49:32SELLYes0.04214$0.60
15:23:17SELLNo0.920$18.00
15:22:54BUYYes0.188$8.80
10:46:15SELLNo0.90122$20.25
16:53:51SELLNo0.922$1.63
08:37:22SELLYes0.0618$1.07
01:48:38SELLYes0.0420$0.80
01:48:29BUYNo0.9291525877108$100.00
23:39:32SELLYes0.084$0.31
23:00:02BUYNo0.9111$100.00