PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

.avaron

0x0736862da6d4b78f1fee69fc3b7bd8b21f709e43

Realised P&L
$-8.43
Volume
$4.5k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$9.57

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 23:47Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?BUY0.002$1.00
09-24 23:45Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota LynxSELL0.37$31.08
09-24 23:222026 Balance of Power: OtherBUY0.002$1.00
09-24 23:21Will Renan Santos win between 6% and 8% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.086$3.44
09-24 23:21Indiana Fever vs. Minnesota LynxBUY0.38$31.92
09-24 23:21Will Dario Amodei attend the White House state dinner for Xi Jinping?BUY0.01$1.00
09-24 23:21Will Netanyahu use a visual aid during his UNGA speech?BUY0.27$4.05
09-24 23:21Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?BUY0.15$4.20
09-24 23:21Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETBUY0.01$1.00
09-24 23:20Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ALKA - Map 2 WinnerBUY0.001$1.00
09-14 22:01Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$1.00
09-14 21:26Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.001$1.00
09-14 19:42Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.352$2.51
09-11 09:23Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.349999958$2.50
09-11 09:232026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseSELL0.49$2.69