0x610c40ff4c122046a
0x497be4bc10a6ccf5f443ddec0ff420e32468a32a
- Realised P&L
- $2.7k
- Volume
- $169.8k
- Markets traded
- 704
- Open portfolio
- $96.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded704
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$286.60at 0.068Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 20?
- +$242.37at 0.605WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
- +$230.37at 0.106Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 24?
- +$214.54at 0.765Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on August 26?
- +$193.35at 0.781Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C or higher on August 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 14:07 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.43 | $20.64 |
| 09-22 14:06 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.21 | $10.13 |
| 09-22 10:29 | Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan by end of summit? | BUY | 0.9774615385 | $63.54 |
| 09-22 08:27 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.65 |
| 09-22 07:23 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.738185 | $29.53 |
| 09-22 05:51 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9603960386 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 05:47 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.9504644653 | $80.00 |
| 09-22 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.850432573 | $2.00 |
| 09-22 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.8499999915 | $30.00 |
| 09-22 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.8399999933 | $10.00 |
| 09-22 05:29 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.822140338 | $20.00 |
| 09-22 05:28 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.03 | $2.53 |
| 09-22 05:27 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.8023038477 | $30.00 |
| 09-22 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 22? | SELL | 0.1710025289 | $9.47 |