yySM22
0x497be4bc10a6ccf5f443ddec0ff420e32468a32a
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $82.6k
- Markets traded
- 446
- Open portfolio
- $126.02
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded446
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$242.37at 0.605WLFI >$13B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?
- +$196.83at 0.433Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on June 17?
- +$135.40at 0.609WLFI market cap (FDV) >$16B one day after launch?
- +$110.88at 0.382Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 10?
- +$105.78at 0.489Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 06:40 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.6335128286 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 06:37 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.91 | $8.00 |
| 08-08 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.91 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.42 | $3.36 |
| 08-08 06:34 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.42 | $3.36 |
| 08-08 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3599999208 | $2.00 |
| 08-08 06:16 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.54 | $4.43 |
| 08-08 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.3831041036 | $10.00 |
| 08-08 06:12 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.535 | $8.56 |
| 08-08 06:08 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 06:07 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.5841583696 | $5.00 |
| 08-08 06:07 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.314 | $6.28 |
| 08-08 06:06 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.56 |
| 08-08 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 8? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 08-08 05:58 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 39°C on August 8? | BUY | 0.8099999741 | $5.00 |