0x2F7c906F2b9Fc53AC7D56e69508C6CDbda37208A-1772259957974
0x2f7c906f2b9fc53ac7d56e69508c6cdbda37208a
- Realised P&L
- $-956.51
- Volume
- $43.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,047
- Open portfolio
- $161.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,047
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.28at 0.480Will MrBeast's latest video get between 65 and 66 million views on day 4?
- +$16.99at 0.150Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 7?
- +$16.32at 0.680Will Marcye Scott win the 2026 GA-13 special election?
- +$13.44at 0.360Will Milo Yiannopoulos be deported by August 31, 2026?
- +$11.20at 0.250Will MrBeast's latest video get between 66 and 67 million views on day 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-13 20:26 | Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 10-13 10:21 | Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.62 | $31.00 |
| 10-13 04:56 | Will UK GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.4% and 0.5%? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.60 |
| 10-12 23:52 | Will the Houston Texans make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 10-12 21:18 | Will Democrats win the Ohio, Iowa, and Maine Senate seats? | SELL | 0.82 | $18.86 |
| 10-12 14:44 | Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.941 | $4.71 |
| 10-12 13:50 | Will the Republicans win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 10-12 10:47 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 New Mexico Senate election by 21% or more? | SELL | 0.42 | $8.40 |
| 10-12 07:19 | Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 10-11 15:09 | Jumper listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 10-11 13:32 | Will the next governing coalition of Romania include PSD + UDMR? | SELL | 0.82 | $5.63 |
| 10-11 12:35 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? | SELL | 0.7 | $14.00 |
| 10-11 07:09 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-17 House election by 10%-15%? | SELL | 0.71 | $14.20 |
| 10-11 01:38 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Arizona gubernatorial election by 6%-9%? | BUY | 0.68 | $13.60 |
| 10-10 21:57 | Will South African inflation be between 4.4% and 4.7% in 2026? | SELL | 0.834 | $4.17 |