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Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?

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Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-24
Resolves by
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.90. up 0.26 over the period, from 0.65. Range 0.62 to 0.93. 19 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.916565
0.9243108
0.93173281
0.94421702
0.9532734
0.96141875
0.974451,319
0.986922,012
0.99272,039

Spread0.02Mid0.90

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.896060
0.8743103
0.8020123
0.79120243
0.78190433
0.7260493
0.6320513
0.6027540
0.5020560
0.3120580
0.2610590
0.1118608

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.116060
0.1343103
0.2020123
0.21120243
0.22190433
0.2860493
0.3720513
0.4027540
0.5020560
0.6920580
0.7410590
0.8918608

Spread0.02Mid0.10

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.096565
0.0843108
0.07173281
0.06421702
0.0532734
0.04141875
0.034451,319
0.026922,012
0.01272,039

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes700
galla9Yes484.07
Ayanokoji67Yes428.55
gotaluismYes200
0x4629…f3b1Yes30
2B9SYes27
GuyFromTinderYes12.45
ScamwiseGamgeeYes10.41
0x9687…1b7cYes10
alber217Yes7.78
Gafer2005Yes6.33
xjsljfiYes5.6
scherahmedaYes5.12
0xa5ef…2966No843.49
tradetosurvive1No304.13
LS-shipNo250
0x1e76…cd4dNo189.12
GenaTheBondKilIerNo70
MrpikeNo56.42
smith-domNo51.3

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
10:12:22BUYNo0.1151$5.64
09:24:31BUYNo0.113$1.30
07:42:30BUYNo0.143$4.30
07:42:07SELLNo0.0995441221266$26.49
07:25:07BUYYes0.89999994868$7.00
03:55:52BUYNo0.1110$1.10
03:55:51BUYNo0.114$0.48
03:37:25BUYNo0.1113$1.43
03:30:22SELLYes0.8922$19.58
03:30:18SELLYes0.8940$35.60
03:30:18SELLYes0.8920$17.80
03:30:18SELLYes0.8942$37.16
03:30:16BUYYes0.9122$20.02
03:30:15BUYNo0.0873941148266$23.25
01:39:16BUYYes0.93059504888$7.52
01:35:42BUYNo0.070488888918$1.27
01:35:42BUYNo0.0712$0.84
01:27:40BUYYes0.92999999415$4.76
01:05:36BUYYes0.8930$26.70
00:36:00BUYNo0.1321$2.71
23:18:31SELLYes0.8330$25.23
23:17:51BUYNo0.1220$2.45
23:17:48SELLYes0.8810$8.80
23:17:46SELLYes0.8810$8.80
23:15:52BUYNo0.1210$1.20