Ayanokoji67
0x8a524bca5c742485c1ee2056735d1825e45bd74c
- Realised P&L
- $4.3k
- Volume
- $116.6k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $58.68
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.813 | $58.68 | +$6.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.357Will Claude Code Commits be at least 750.0k on June 30?
- +$1.0kat 0.660Will the next Claude Opus debut at a score of at least 1510 by December 31, 2026?
- +$702.90at 0.514Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026?
- +$409.71at 0.881Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 31, 2026?
- +$310.03at 0.834Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 07:46 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $14.51 |
| 09-26 07:46 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $14.50 |
| 09-26 07:46 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.899 | $14.48 |
| 09-26 07:46 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8992619491 | $14.49 |
| 09-26 07:34 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1520 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $62.14 |
| 09-26 03:28 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.8625685377 | $179.03 |
| 09-26 03:27 | Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.7924782566 | $80.37 |
| 09-26 02:16 | Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.72 | $27.97 |
| 09-26 01:53 | Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1515 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.896 | $35.84 |
| 09-26 01:34 | Will Alibaba be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.703 | $41.71 |
| 09-26 01:33 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.676 | $5.08 |
| 09-26 01:33 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.6820950856 | $97.99 |
| 09-26 01:32 | Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.498 | $14.91 |
| 09-24 02:30 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.0047395455 | $1.41 |
| 09-24 02:30 | Will Anthropic be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026? | SELL | 0.017794445 | $1.81 |