Mrpike
0x196496d512ecb6b192a61aad1a115068fe8b5e04
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $34.9k
- Markets traded
- 259
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded259
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$277.97at 0.360Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get less than 10 million views on day 1?
- +$215.35at 0.406Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?
- +$155.81at 0.310Will fewer than 200 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between July 27-August 2?
- +$152.16at 0.639Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?
- +$142.00at 0.498Will Trump say "Uranium" this week?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 19:05 | Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 15m? | BUY | 0.9 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 19:03 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 100 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.75 | $200.00 |
| 10-02 19:02 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 45 million views on day 1? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $300.00 |
| 10-02 15:57 | Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31? | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $20.00 |
| 10-02 13:53 | Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 11:31 | Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m? | BUY | 0.95 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 11:31 | Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 14m and 15m? | BUY | 0.9452736312 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 11:30 | Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 14m? | BUY | 0.75 | $300.00 |
| 10-02 10:16 | Will "Resident Evil" 3rd Weekend Box Office be at least 15m? | BUY | 0.9475694115 | $60.00 |
| 10-02 10:14 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 25? | BUY | 0.807660283 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 10:13 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 1? | BUY | 0.8499999983 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 10:12 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 10? | BUY | 0.8220867861 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 10:12 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 8? | BUY | 0.820730666 | $50.00 |
| 10-02 10:11 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 7? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 10-02 10:11 | Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia on October 3? | BUY | 0.7759999797 | $100.00 |