PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will Claude go down 8-10 times in October?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.32. up 0.06 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.14 to 0.52. 124 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.33439439
0.34170609
0.3762671
0.44100771
0.4545816
0.4650866
0.4850916
0.4940956
0.651001,056
0.66501,106
0.741921,298
0.754401,738

Spread0.03Mid0.32

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.30468468
0.29267735
0.2632767
0.20101868
0.0311879
0.0219898
0.0120918

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.70468468
0.71267735
0.7432767
0.80101868
0.9711879
0.9819898
0.9920918

Spread0.03Mid0.69

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.67439439
0.66170609
0.6362671
0.56100771
0.5545816
0.5450866
0.5250916
0.5140956
0.351001,056
0.34501,106
0.261921,298
0.254401,738

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AJSVYes165.66
0xdA446074d3FF8c1fa87227705468BDb80B122E5a-1767763983249Yes62.5
pootytherewardfarmerYes32.94
llh1818Yes29.4
youtube-traderYes20
tradetosurvive1Yes16.99
GuyFromTinderYes12.41
FihdrzgddYes9.29
FleursYes4.41
RespireYes2.94
0xa5ef…2966No204.21
cigarettesNo80.9
dpndNo30.29
SlowbucksNo30
UpTheStairsNo12.06

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:18:10BUYNo0.4820$9.60
22:15:46BUYYes0.3320$6.60
21:52:10BUYNo0.67999997429$6.32
21:52:10SELLYes0.329$2.97
21:51:07BUYNo0.6810$6.80
21:51:07BUYNo0.6813$8.70
21:51:07BUYNo0.6812$8.16
10:37:10BUYNo0.6820$13.60
10:37:08BUYNo0.6810$6.80
05:48:25SELLYes0.321$0.16
05:48:11BUYYes0.339999993852$17.55
05:48:11SELLYes0.321$0.16
05:39:34BUYNo0.675$3.35
21:38:20BUYNo0.433$1.07
21:38:14BUYNo0.432$1.07
21:38:13BUYNo0.4310$4.30
21:38:13BUYNo0.435$2.15
21:37:58BUYYes0.3520$7.00
19:03:56BUYNo0.6940$27.60
12:59:10BUYYes0.33999996848$2.58
12:49:38BUYNo0.721$14.63
20:37:59SELLNo0.6613$8.58
18:51:29SELLNo0.6616$10.28
17:58:15SELLYes0.314$1.37
17:38:27BUYYes0.3113$4.03