Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2026-10-10

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.013. down 0.001 over the period, from 0.015. Range 0.012 to 0.018. 167 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.016	5,190	5,190
0.017	186	5,376
0.018	200	5,576
0.019	1,605	7,181
0.027	200	7,381
0.030	37	7,418
0.055	36	7,454
0.110	42	7,496
0.200	20	7,516
0.220	36	7,553
0.300	40	7,593
0.489	2,250	9,843

Spread0.005Mid0.013

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.011	528	528
0.010	1,773	2,300
0.009	1,689	3,990
0.008	1,150	5,140
0.007	150	5,290
0.006	4,856	10,145
0.005	55	10,200
0.004	3,669	13,870
0.003	3,810	17,679
0.002	2,819	20,498
0.001	198,858	219,356

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.989	528	528
0.990	1,773	2,300
0.991	1,689	3,990
0.992	1,150	5,140
0.993	150	5,290
0.994	4,856	10,145
0.995	55	10,200
0.996	3,669	13,870
0.997	3,810	17,679
0.998	2,819	20,498
0.999	198,858	219,356

Spread0.005Mid0.986

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.984	5,190	5,190
0.983	186	5,376
0.982	200	5,576
0.981	1,605	7,181
0.973	200	7,381
0.970	37	7,418
0.945	36	7,454
0.890	42	7,496
0.800	20	7,516
0.780	36	7,553
0.700	40	7,593
0.511	2,250	9,843

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
tiger555	Yes	9,274.96
knrad	Yes	6,462.88
Elias.Thornwell	Yes	5,107.19
0x4e25…d7a7	Yes	3,061.19
wtfisgoingonhere	Yes	2,499.86
Betmeonce	Yes	2,129.9
eme10	Yes	2,080.04
plmr	Yes	1,604.96
rubbishjerjer	Yes	1,479.67
0x82fc…27d0	Yes	1,333.33
on-cinema	Yes	1,017.44
Waluig1	Yes	1,000
rg6768hjktw3qr5	Yes	783.33
0x7c1C22Fa1D4d9Bf706a151D55AC8C3929709e9bf-1774510087126	Yes	775.96
nrtu64ru562q5	Yes	766.67
m69568u4251	Yes	766.67
brarchion	Yes	754.26
ntuy7i9578fdr3	Yes	750
GenaTheBondKilIer	Yes	699.91
lissartter	Yes	682.45

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
22:09:48	SELL	Yes	0.014	57	$0.80
16:28:51	SELL	Yes	0.014	85	$1.20
16:25:20	SELL	Yes	0.015	109	$1.64
22:41:29	SELL	Yes	0.018	225	$4.05
16:24:27	SELL	No	0.981	100	$98.10
10:25:38	SELL	No	0.981	100	$98.10
06:35:38	BUY	Yes	0.018	31	$0.56
21:28:52	BUY	Yes	0.019	195	$3.70
16:52:23	BUY	Yes	0.0188929058	2,130	$40.24
08:36:40	SELL	No	0.983	2	$2.29
11:10:06	BUY	Yes	0.017	200	$3.40
22:06:21	BUY	Yes	0.017	120	$2.05
22:21:42	BUY	Yes	0.016	81	$1.30
23:30:00	BUY	Yes	0.016	126	$2.02
23:21:21	BUY	Yes	0.016	126	$2.02
21:58:27	BUY	Yes	0.016	126	$2.02
00:29:19	BUY	No	0.987	5	$5.00
22:21:22	BUY	Yes	0.016	126	$2.02
18:59:59	BUY	Yes	0.012	105	$1.27
14:53:46	SELL	Yes	0.011	38	$0.41
13:40:32	SELL	Yes	0.01145744	1,000	$11.46
12:48:46	SELL	Yes	0.012	794	$9.53
12:25:47	BUY	No	0.988	78	$77.06
12:25:46	BUY	No	0.988	20	$19.76
12:25:46	BUY	No	0.988	125	$123.50