PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Waluig1

0x8cf4d3bd0f849bdd39ce68889259d9a584e65608

Realised P&L
$-5.5k
Volume
$713.2k
Markets traded
233
Open portfolio
$7.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded233
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8870.925$2.8k+$113.59
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8400.962$1.9k+$243.00
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.8750.981$588.57+$63.60
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.3200.925$584.19+$382.20
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9000.975$487.25+$37.25
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0260.046$90.51+$38.86
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.9570.996$90.46+$3.53
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5200.175$87.50$172.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.140$70.00$155.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.065$65.00$175.00
Over $1B raised on Coinbase in 2026? · Yes0.3960.150$37.50$61.50
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3200.075$37.50$122.50
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2200.245$27.77+$2.83
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2200.055$27.50$82.50
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? · Yes0.5110.245$26.43$28.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 17:01Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.3775$151.00
07-14 11:26Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4075$244.50
07-14 11:25Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Spain?BUY0.023$115.00
07-09 18:43Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.1$50.00
07-09 18:42France vs. Morocco: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.51$153.00
06-30 16:27Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.005$10.00
06-30 16:27Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$10.00
06-30 16:26Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.27$270.00
06-30 16:24Exact Score: Belgium 1 - 1 Senegal?BUY0.15$75.00
06-30 16:22Spread: France (-1.5)BUY0.54$540.00
06-30 16:19Exact Score: Any Other Score?BUY0.1$40.00
06-30 16:18Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.45$225.00
06-20 21:01Will Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?BUY0.3$105.00
06-02 19:03Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.018$90.00
04-29 08:54Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?SELL0.32$57.41